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FOREX: Tuesdays review
27.07.2011 07:09:00

Tuesday the dollar significantly weakened against a basket of rival currencies on concerns about a lack of agreement on raising the U.S. debt ceiling. The dollar fell as US President Barack Obama said the U.S. may experience a “deep economic crisis” if leaders fail to reach a compromise on spending cuts and the nation defaults.
If the debt ceiling isn’t raised from the current $14.3 trillion by August 2, the country would face technical default.
The Swiss franc reached a new record high versus the dollar on demand for safety.
The pound rallied from a two-week low against the euro after the U.K. economy expanded for a second quarter.
The British economy expanded by 0.2% in the second quarter, down from 0.5% in the first three months of the year, the Office for National Statistics said today. GDP would have grown by 0.7% without special factors such as Japan’s earthquake, an extra holiday for the royal wedding, and unusually warm weather in April, the statistics office said.
Gains in the yen were limited on speculation Japanese officials will intervene to weaken the currency.
Japanese Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda said currency moves have been one-sided and he will continue to watch the yen closely. Bank of Japan Governor Masaaki Shirakawa said yesterday that the yen’s strength could hurt the economy and the central bank is ready to take appropriate action as needed.

EUR/USD initially fell from the highs around $1.4523 to lows on $1.4450. After some consolidation rate recovered to $1.4520/25.

GBP/USD rose after the UK GDP report. Rate managed to break above the resistance at $1.6400/05 and tested earlier highs on $1.6426.

USD/JPY printed lows on Y77.81 before recovered to Y78.01.

Scheduled European data starts at 0600GMT with German import prices for June, while at 0800GMT, the ECB publishes M3 money supply for 
June.

UK data includes the 1000GMT release of the latest CBI Industrial trends data. The June CBI industrial trends survey appeared robust, with 

US data starts at 1230GMT by Durable Goods Orders data. Durable goods orders are expected to rise 0.5% in June after the surge in May. The weekly EIA Crude Oil Stocks data is then due, at 1430GMT.
At 1800GMT, the Fed's Beige Book will provide anecdotal evidence of conditions in the US economy for June through mid-July.

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