|
|
| 23.10 19:51 |
Hot stocks: Allstate, Amgen, Goldman Sachs.[M]
The Allstate Corporation The property and casualty insurer
reported a third-quarter net loss of $923M, or $1.71 a share, as it
paid big hurricane-related claims and realized more than $1B of pre-tax
investment losses.
Amgen Inc The world's largest biotechnology company said
third-quarter profit rose more than fivefold as sales of its anemia
drugs increased.
Amazon.com, Inc The world's largest Internet retailer said its full-year sales and operating income wouldn't meet forecasts.
Bristol-Myers Squibb Company The drugmaker said its
third-quarter profit tripled to $2.6B, or 46 cents per share, beating
expectations on the rising sales of wound care business.
The Dow Chemical Company The largest U.S. chemical maker said
its third-quarter profit edged up 6% to $428M as price hikes offset the
soaring costs of raw materials and energy.
Goldman Sachs Group, Inc The investment bank, is readying a
job cut of 10%, or 3,250 workers, people familiar with the matter told
The Wall Street Journal.
Xerox Corporation The world's largest maker of high-speed color printers forecast profit this quarter below analysts' estimates.
|
| 23.10 19:40 |
Dow -195.38 at 8328.60, Nasdaq -69.83 at 1547.92, S&P -29.15 at 868.79
The stock market extends its losses as Dow Jones reports that sellers
of credit protection of the default of Washington Mutual (WM) will have
to pay 43 cents on the dollar, which was worse than expected.
The Nasdaq took out its multi-year intraday low that was hit on October 10.
Traders will be keeping a close eye on 839.80 for the S&P 500,
which is its multi-year intraday low that was reached on Oct. 10. It
is currently about 3.4% above that level.
|
| 23.10 19:38 |
Oil falls again
Crude oil has relinquished most of its morning gains, trades at $67.33,
up $0.59 ahead of the NYMEX floor session close and after trading a
broad $65.90/69.41 range on the day.
|
| 23.10 19:11 |
Dow -179.76 at 8339.45, Nasdaq -57.08 at 1558.67, S&P -25.45 at 871.83
The major indices remain markedly lower. Stocks have been bouncing
along for the last hour, slipping to new session lows, recovering, then
falling again.
As concerns of tighter credit and slower economic growth grip
international investors, many are pulling funds from developing
economies. That has the dollar finding buyers, despite weakness in
U.S. assets. The dollar index is up 0.2%, bringing its year-to-date
advance to 11.5%.
|
| 23.10 18:50 |
American focus: [M]
The yen fell from the highest level against the euro since 2002 on
speculation a rebound in stocks will slow the selling of
higher-yielding assets funded by low- cost loans in Japan's currency.
``Yen crosses are tracking equities,'' said John McCarthy, director of
currency trading at ING Financial Markets LLC in New York. ``Some
buyers may come in at a certain point after big one-way sell-offs in
the past few days.''
The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 2.1 percent, rebounding from a
five-year low, as higher crude oil prices boosted energy shares.
The euro has lost 20 percent versus the dollar since touching the
all-time high of $1.6038 on July 15. The European economy may be headed
for a recession that could last two to three years, Finland's Finance
Minister Jyrki Katainen said yesterday in an interview on Bloomberg
Television.
Net selling of European stocks among institutional investors has been
three times higher than average over the past year, and foreign
investors account for most of the sales, according to Samarjit Shankar,
director of strategy for the global markets group in Boston at Bank of
New York Mellon, the world's largest custodial bank, with more than $23
trillion in assets under administration.
Sterling slid to the lowest level against the dollar in more than five
years after the Office for National Statistics said today that retail
sales in the U.K. declined 0.4 percent last month after rising 1.1
percent in August.
|
| 23.10 18:50 |
Dow -33.21 at 8486.00, Nasdaq -30.65 at 1585.10, S&P -7.85 at 88.93
Stocks are on the retreat again. The Nasdaq has fallen to a new
session low, but the Dow and the S&P 500 are resisting earlier lows
when they each traded with a 1.5% loss.
There is no clear news item behind the move, but it has induced buying
in Treasuries. The 10-year Note is now up 4 ticks after being down for
much of the session.
|
| 23.10 17:55 |
BAS: October payrolls to decline by 170,000
"The week of the 18th is also a survey week for the employment report.
A survey week comparison reveals that initial claims increased by
20,000. The labor market is quite weak. Our preliminary projection is
that October payrolls decline by 170,000 and that the unemployment rate
rises to 6.3%."
|
| 23.10 17:16 |
Dow +166.46 at 8685.67, Nasdaq +7.71 at 1623.46, S&P +14.20 at 910.98
Stocks have pulled back from their early session highs, when the
S&P 500 was sporting a 2.9% gain. Still, the S&P 500 is well
off its session low, when it traded with a 1.5% loss.
The financial sector (+0.2%) has failed to register the solid gains of
the the other major economic sectors. Major diversified financial
services companies (+1.1%) like JPMorgan Chase (JPM 37.59, +0.42) and
Bank of America (BAC 22.96, +0.30) are trying to provide leadership,
but the likes of Allstate (ALL 27.50, -0.73) and Goldman Sachs (GS
108.39, -6.32) are holding the sector back.
Allstate posted a loss of $0.35 per share for its most recent quarter
after experiencing a 19% year-over-year drop in revenue. The insurer
also had its outlook revised lower to Negative from Stable by Standard
& Poor's. Meanwhile, Goldman is planning to cut around 10% of its
workforce, according to reports.
|
| 23.10 16:59 |
Cable tries to rebound
Managed to post a quick recovery back on to a $1.62 handle after
extending five-year lows to $1.6046. Retracement levels of the sell-off
from $1.6346 noted at $1.6200, $1.6230 and $1.6275. On the downside,
little is seen in the way of major support ahead of the long-term 50%
retracement level of the 1985-2007 upswing at $1.5770.
|
| 23.10 16:39 |
BOC, Carney: world plan is the right one, "is going to work."
Will take some time to see the results of measure.
|
| 23.10 16:26 |
Dow +253.52 at 8772.73, Nasdaq +25.05 at 1640.80, S&P +24.39 at 921.17
Stocks have climbed to new session highs. Energy (+6.0%) remains the
best performer, but the utilities sector (+5.5%) is not far behind.
Electricity generation, wholesaler, and retailer Southern Company (SO
35.84, +2.26) is advancing with marked gains as investors digest its
latest financial results. Though its earnings were a penny shy of the
consensus estimate of $1.02 per share, Southern saw revenue grow 12%
year-over-year and net income increase 2% from the prior year.
Driving revenue growth were increased retail rates and market-response
rates to industrial customers. Income failed to keep up with revenue
growth due to depreciation associated with increased investment.
Southern noted the investments were needed to produce cleaner energy
and maintain reliability.
|
| 23.10 16:15 |
European equity bourses are lower Thursday, on continued concerns about global recession, with mining and financial sector leading decliners.
Traders said that mining sector is
under pressure on worries about exposure to metals demand from the
slowing emerging markets. Financials are lower on concerns about state
of hedge funds. CAC-40 is down 106pts (-3.22%), Xetra-DAX is dpwm
-194pts (-4.26%) and FTSE-100 is down 102pts (-2.53%).
|
| 23.10 15:43 |
Bank of Canada: Monetary Policy Report
In the Report, the Bank noted that three major interrelated global
developments are having a profound impact on the Canadian economy and
making the outlook for growth and inflation more uncertain than it was
at the time of the July Monetary Policy Report Update. First, the
intensification of the global financial crisis has led to severe
strains in financial markets. The associated need for the global
banking sector to continue to reduce leverage will restrain growth for
some time. Second, the global economy appears to be heading into a mild
recession, led by a U.S. economy that is already in recession. Third,
there have been sharp declines in many commodity prices.
The Bank projects average annual growth in real GDP of 0.6 per cent in both 2008 and 2009, and 3.4 per cent in 2010.
With excess supply projected to build throughout 2009, and with lower
assumed energy prices, inflationary pressures will ease significantly
relative to the projection in the July Monetary Policy Report Update.
Core inflation is now projected to remain below 2 per cent until the
end of 2010. Total CPI inflation should peak during the third quarter
of 2008, fall below 1 per cent in mid-2009, and then return to the 2
per cent target by the end of 2010.
In line with the new outlook, some further monetary stimulus will
likely be required to achieve the 2 per cent inflation target over the
medium term. The evolution of the financial crisis, its impact on the
global economy, and the timing of the effects of the various
extraordinary measures being taken to address it pose significant risks
to the inflation projection on both the upside and the downside.
|
| 23.10 15:39 |
RDQ Economics on claims
"With the impact of the hurricanes largely behind us, these unemploy
claims data point to a deterioration in underlying labor market
conditions early in the fourth quarter. The rise in continuing claims
suggests that the unemployment rate moved higher in October."
|
| 23.10 15:13 |
Dow +24.13 at 8543.34, Nasdaq -4.09 at 1611.66, S&P +1.87 at 898.65
The major indices extended their downturn, but pulled up before hitting
this week's low point, which was registered late in the previous
session. Stocks have since made an upward move, lifting the Dow and
S&P 500 back into positive ground.
The major indices continue to show losses for the week. At their
current levels, the Dow has shed 4.2% this week, while the Nasdaq is
down 6.5% this week and the S&P 500 is off by 5.3% this week.
The consumer discretionary sector has fared the poorest week-to-date;
it is down 8.0% during that time. Fears of a prolonged global
recession have investors moving out of the sector as revenue and
earnings prospects for its businesses dim. The notion that consumers
will be spending less amid higher unemployment, tighter credit, and
tumultuous financial markets has unnerved investors.
|
| 23.10 15:00 |
US: Aug OFHEO home prices -0.6% MOM, -5.9% YOY. |
| 23.10 14:58 |
Comments from Iraq oil minister:
- Oil demand gone down considerably - Opec cut is needed
- Any fall under $80 will hit 2009 budget
- May have to reconsider proposed 2009 budget
- Opec could cut output in stages
- Oil price drop will not affect oil bid round, second bid round in Dec
|
| 23.10 14:17 |
Before the bell: Futures suggest a lower open despite positive earnings reports.[M]
S&P futures vs fair value: -1.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -10.80.
Several widely held companies continue to post better-than-expected third quarter earnings results, including Altria Group (MO), Bristol-Myers (BMY), and UPS (UPS),
but fear of a recession has market participants focusing on the latest
unemployment data for clues regarding the health of the economy. Initial jobless claims
for the week ending October 18 totaled 478,000, which exceeded the
consensus estimate of 468,000 claims. Initial claims were up 15,000
from the prior week. The initial claims data follows word from The
Wall Street Journal that Goldman Sachs (GS) will be cutting 10% of its workforce and word from Dow Jones that General Motors
(GM) will also be making layoffs. Futures have held relatively steady
at more recent levels, but continue to indicate stocks will open the
session to the downside.
|
| 23.10 14:01 |
US stock futures trading in the red in early US action.
Dow futures are
off 77 points though were off 100+ a short while ago. Nasdaq futures
are down 14.
|
| 23.10 13:52 |
EUR/USD under pressure
Slippage into US trade is so far contained
ahead of the European base at $1.2780, where traders noted decent
demand to buy the dipthis morning. A break would expose the Asian base
at $1.2726, with barrier protection then noted into $1.2700. Offers
back at $1.2850/60.
|
| 23.10 13:31 |
US: Jobless claims +15k to 478k in Oct. 18 holiday week vs 470k expected. |
| 23.10 13:23 |
Crude oil prices under pressure following comments from Saudi oil minister
WTI Nymex crude oil fell to $66.45 on comments from Saudi oil minister saying oil prices are determined by
the market, before
bouncing back to $66.90, up 15 cents.
|
| 23.10 11:45 |
European session: [M]
Global recessionary fears dominated the market headlines in the Wednesday session, with US equity bourses posting steep losses, crude oil slumping beneath the $70 per barrel level to $67.12 and spot gold at a one-year low to $774.57 per ounce. The greenback and yen benefited from continued safe-haven flows, posting steep gains versus the euro and sterling.
The dollar surged to 1.2737 against the euro for the first time since November 2006. Although the FOMC will likely cut rates by 50-basis points to 1.0% when it meets next week, markets anticipate more aggressive policy easing from the ECB in the near-term to support the struggling economy.
The pound traded near its lowest level in more than five years against the dollar as reports showed declining retail sales and home-loan approvals, adding to evidence the U.K. is on the brink of a recession. The pound slid after the Office for National Statistics said retail sales fell 0.4 percent in September from August and the British Bankers' Association reported a 57 percent slump in mortgage approvals last month compared with a year earlier. ``The line of least resistance is a weaker pound in a generally dollar-bullish environment,'' said Russell Jones, head of fixed-income and currency research in London at RBC Capital Markets. ``The pound came a long way. That's quite a rare occurrence.'' The euro declined as ECB's Gonzalez-Paramo told the Irish Independent newspaper in an interview today the bank expects ``inflation to come down more quickly than a month ago as a result of slower growth, lower commodity prices.'' The currency advanced for a seventh day as on bets the European Central Bank will favor interest-rate cuts to support the 15-nation economy. The Wall Street Journal reported the U.S. may spend $40 billion to prevent more home foreclosures, citing a person familiar with the plan. The yen trimmed gains as U.S. stock futures climbed and Asian stocks pared losses.
EUR/USD it was consolidated within the limits of $1,2720-$ 1,2855. Offers $1.2850/60, $1.2920. Bids $1.2780, $1.2720/00. GBP/USD has become stronger from area of a session low on $1,6155 in area $1,6330 then has again decreased in area $1,6170. USD/JPY having established a session low on Y96,83, the pair has receded in area Y98,20. Later the rate has again receded below level Y98,00.
US data starts at 1230GMT with the weekly jobless claims, which are expected to rise 9,000 to 470,000 in the October 18 employment survey week. There were 458,000 claims in the September 13 employment survey week. That is followed by further US data including the OFHEO Home Price Index at 1400GMT, the weekly natural gas stocks at 1435GMT and M2 Money Supply at 2030GMT.
|
| 23.10 11:21 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y99160
Resistance 2: Y99.00
Resistance 1: Y98.20
Current price: Y97.69
Support 1: Y96.80
Support 2: Y96.00
Support 3: Y95.70
Comments: The pair continues to be consolidated in the field of the
reached levels. Resistance is presented by levels FIBO of falling
Y102,40-Y96,80: Y98,20 (23,6 %, and also area of a sessional maximum),
Y99,00 (38,2 %) and Y99,60 (50,0 %). The nearest level of support is
the area of a sessional minimum on Y96,80, below possible falling to
Y96,00 then there is possible testing Y95,70 (a minimum on March, 17th).
|
| 23.10 11:00 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.1830
Resistance 2: Chf1.1780
Resistance 1: Chf1.1700
Current price: Chf1.1650
Support 1: Chf1.1580
Support 2: Chf1.1400
Support 3: Chf1.1350
Comments: The rate bargains near former levels. The nearest resistance
is located in the field of session and yesterday's high on Chf1,1700,
above is located the high of October 21 2007 on Chf1.1780. Overcoming
of the given mark will open road to the top border of the ascending
channel since July 17 on Chf1,1830. Support is located in the field of
session low Chf1.1580. Overcoming of the given mark will open road to
former resistance Chf1.1400. Below there is a chance of return to area
Chf1.1350 where there is a bottom border of the channel and in area of
minima 14, 15, on October, 16th and 17 Chf1.1270/90.
|
| 23.10 10:42 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.6660
Resistance 2: $1.6460
Resistance 1: $1.6320
Current price: $1.6237
Support 1: $1.6130
Support 2: $1.5960
Support 3: $1.5870
Comments: Tech on pound hasn't changed. As the nearest support acts the
area of a yesterday's low on $1,6130. The area $1.5960/70 represents
100 % of a projection $2.0135/1.7445 and 200 % $1.8795/1.7445. $1.5770
are 100 % a projection of decrease in September-October, and $1.5610
represents a low August-September, 2003. Resistance is in area of a
sessionn high on $1.6320. Above is possible restoration to $1,6460 and
further to $1,6660 (23,6 % and 38.2 % FIBO of falling $1,7520-$ 1,6130.
|
| 23.10 10:21 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.3040
Resistance 2: $1.2920
Resistance 1: $1.2860
Current price: $1.2846
Support 1: $1.2750
Support 2: $1.2680
Support 3: $1.2470
Comments: The pair has receded from the low reached in the morning, but
as a whole the tech hasn't changed. The nearest support is presented by
area of session and yesterday's lows on $1,2730/50. In the field of
$1.2680/60 there are low of October-November 2006. The area of low of
second half of 2006 $1.2480/60 in our opinion is represented a ultimate
goal of current movement. The area of a session high on $1.2860 is
intermediate resistance. Above the purpose of growth becomes a level
$1,920 (23,6 % FIBO of falling $1,3530-1,2730 $). Overcoming of the
given mark will open road to $1,3040 (38,2 %).
|
| 23.10 10:08 |
Е15 Industrial orders (August) -1.2%, Y/Y -6.6% |
| 23.10 10:05 |
OPTIONS: Option expiries of note for today's 1400GMT cut
USD/JPY Y103.70, Y102.60, Y101.50, Y101.40, Y100.85, Y100.00, Y99.40, Y99.30 EUR/USD $1.3500
|
| 23.10 09:27 |
Asian session: [M]
The dollar rose to the highest against the euro in almost two years on speculation the U.S. government will increase support for the housing market. The currency advanced for a seventh day as on bets the European Central Bank will favor interest-rate cuts to support the 15-nation economy. The Wall Street Journal reported the U.S. may spend $40 billion to prevent more home foreclosures, citing a person familiar with the plan. The yen trimmed gains as U.S. stock futures climbed and Asian stocks pared losses. The greenback advanced against 10 of the 16 most-active currencies as Standard & Poor's 500 Index futures rose 1.5 percent following a 5.9 percent decline yesterday. South Korea's won dropped 3.3 percent to 1,408.90 and Taiwan's dollar slipped 0.9 percent to NT$33.260. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said this week that he aims to intensify efforts to stem foreclosures by using part of the government's $700 billion financial-rescue fund. The seven-day drop in the common European currency was the longest stretch since Sept. 8. ECB Executive Board member Jose Manuel Gonzalez-Paramo signaled lower borrowing costs. The British pound declined to near a five-year low on speculation U.K. consumer spending shrank and the economy slowed. The euro declined as ECB's Gonzalez-Paramo told the Irish Independent newspaper in an interview today the bank expects ``inflation to come down more quickly than a month ago as a result of slower growth, lower commodity prices.'' Investors are betting the ECB will lower borrowing costs by another half-percentage point by June after cutting the main refinancing rate by a half point to 3.75 percent on Oct. 8, part of coordinated reductions by major central banks.
EUR/USD it was consolidated within the limits of $1,2720-$ 1,2855. GBP/USD has become stronger from area of a session low on $1,6155 in area $1,6330. USD/JPY having established a session low on Y96,83, the pair has receded in area Y98,20.
UK data at 0830GMT sees BBA net mortgage lending and retail sales data for September, which are expected to come in at -0.9% m/m, 1.9% y/y. At 0900GMT Eurozone August industrial new orders are due to come in at 0.3% m/m, -0.3% y/y. US data starts at 1230GMT with the weekly jobless claims, which are expected to rise 9,000 to 470,000 in the October 18 employment survey week. There were 458,000 claims in the September 13 employment survey week. That is followed by further US data including the OFHEO Home Price Index at 1400GMT, the weekly natural gas stocks at 1435GMT and M2 Money Supply at 2030GMT.
|
| 23.10 09:00 |
Е15 Current account (August) adjusted, bln -8.4 |
| 23.10 08:42 |
Stock market: Wednesday summary
Japan stocks plunged, driving the Topix index down more than 7
percent for the fourth time in two weeks, on concern the slowing global
economy will weigh on profits and as the tumbling euro cut the value of
European sales. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc., Japan's
largest listed bank, sank 8.8 percent on a report the lender's
six-month earnings probably dropped by half. NEC Electronics Corp.
tumbled by a record 20 percent after reversing its forecast to a loss. The
Nikkei 225 Stock Average dropped 631.56, or 6.8 percent, to close at
8,674.69 in Tokyo, its first retreat since Oct. 16. The broader Topix
fell 67.41, or 7.1 percent, to 889.23. The benchmarks widened their
losses in the afternoon as the yen extended its gain against the euro
and dollar. First-half profit at Mitsubishi UFJ will likely drop
about 50 percent because of an increase in bad-loan costs and
writedowns on shareholdings, the Nikkei newspaper said today. Rivals
Mizuho Financial Group Inc. and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc.
may post earnings that are lower than their estimates, Nikkei said. Mitsubishi
UFJ fell 8.8 percent to 774 yen, while closest rival Mizuho dived 8.5
percent to 334,000 yen. Sumitomo Mitsui, Japan's third-biggest listed
bank by assets, dropped 8 percent to 505,000 yen. Banks contributed the
most to the Topix's decline, followed by electronics makers. Sony,
the world's largest maker of home video-game consoles, lost 9.3 percent
to 2,450 yen. Endoscope maker Olympus Corp., which counts Europe as its
biggest overseas market, stumbled 11 percent to 2,135 yen.
NEC Electronics, the nation's third-biggest chipmaker, plunged 20
percent to 1,210 yen, the steepest drop since it listed on the bourse
in July 2003. The company yesterday said it will probably have a net
loss of 8 billion yen in the year to March 31 because demand for
semiconductors slumped. The company had previously forecast it would
break even this year. NEC Corp., the parent of the chipmaker,
tumbled 11 percent to 330 yen, while Advantest Corp., the world's
biggest maker of memory-chip testers, plunged 11 percent to 1,338 yen.
European
stocks fell for a second day, led by banks and commodity producers, on
concern the global economic slump will snuff out profit growth. National
benchmark indexes fell in all 18 western European markets except for
Iceland. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 retreated 4.5 percent, as did Germany's
DAX. France's CAC 40 sank 5.1 percent, with Schneider Electric SA
dropping 8.2 percent as sales slowed in Asia. Royal Bank of
Scotland, Britain's second-largest bank, slid 14 percent to 68.3 pence.
Barclays Plc, the U.K.'s second- biggest, dropped 7.4 percent to 224.5
pence. Prudential Plc, an insurer, slipped 4.5 percent to 333 pence. The
U.K. currency fell to $1.6260, the lowest level since September 2003.
The yield on the two-year gilt dropped 7 basis points to 3.37 percent. Bank
of England policy makers voted unanimously to lower the benchmark rate
by the most since 2001 in an emergency meeting this month, minutes from
the meeting showed. The cost of protecting European corporate
bonds from default rose today, according to traders of credit-default
swaps. Contracts on the Markit iTraxx Crossover Index of 50 companies
with mostly high-risk, high-yield credit ratings increased 20 basis
points to 790 after opening at a record 795, according to JPMorgan
Chase & Co. BHP Billiton slid 9 percent to 880 pence as it
said ``uncertainty'' will persist in China after the economy grew at
its slowest pace in five years last quarter. Anglo American Plc, the world's fourth-biggest diversified mining company, lost 8.1 percent to 1,275 pence. Copper
fell for a third straight day in London as a slowdown in world economic
growth reduces demand. Copper slipped 6.6 percent to $4,200 a metric
ton in London. Total dropped 6.2 percent to 36.86 euros. Crude for
December delivery declined as much as $4.13, or 5.7 percent, to $68.05
a barrel in New York. It reached a record $147.27 on July 11. Oerlikon
tumbled 18 percent to 95.55 francs after reporting a fall in nine-month
sales of 7.4 percent to 3.77 billion francs ($3.24 billion) as Asian
investment in textile equipment waned. This fell short of the 3.83
billion francs from five analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.
Global economic concerns and worries over corporate earnings sank stocks for the second straight session. The
S&P 500 spent the entire session in negative territory, falling
6.1% to its lowest closing level in five years. Weakness was
broad-based with 478 of the S&P 500 components posting a loss,
although volume was on the light side when considering the scope of
this session's move. Similar to Tuesday, the majority of companies
(56%) reported better-than-expected earnings for the latest quarter,
but outlooks were negative. Of the companies that issued earnings
guidance with their quarterly reports, 39% were negative, 29% were
in-line, 24% were mixed and only 7% were positive. A few of the more
widely-held names that topped earnings estimates include Apple (+5.08),
McDonald's (-0.67), Merck (-6.51) and Phillip Morris International
(-1.22). Of note, Merck plans to cut 7,200 jobs, or 13% of its
workforce. Yahoo! (+0.32) reported a profit drop that met estimates, and said it plans to lay off 1,500, or 10% of its workforce. AT&T (-1.80) and Boeing (-3.37) are two of the bigger names that missed earnings estimates. All ten of the economic sectors posted a loss, ranging from -10.4% (energy) and -3.8% (consumer staples). A
sharp drop in crude prices in conjunction with disappointing earnings
from ConocoPhillips (-4.90) and Baker Hughes (-8.52) caused a 10.4%
decline in energy stocks. On related note, the material sector fell 8.3% as copper prices plunged 9.7%. The defensive-oriented consumer staples sector outperformed on a relative basis with a decline of 3.8%. The
dollar rallied for the third straight session, with today's gains
fueled by weakness in overseas markets and Bank of England Governor
King saying that a U.K. recession seems likely. The DJ World Index
excluding U.S. dropped 6.8%. The strength in the dollar and global
economic fears sparked a broad-based sell-off in commodities (-4.5%).
Crude oil prices plunged 7.4% to $66.84, with selling interest
compounded by the fourth straight weekly increase in inventory levels. As
stocks and commodities faltered, the long end of the Treasury curve
rallied as investors sought safety. The benchmark 10-year note climbed
more than a point to push its yield down to 3.60%.
|
| 23.10 08:29 |
CRUDE OIL:
WTI Nymex crude oil trades little changed at $67.30, up 55 cents, despite call from Opec President saying "does not rule out cutting output immediately". Prices fell to $66.64 overnight and traded as low as $66.20 on Wednesday.
|
| 23.10 08:03 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y99160
Resistance 2: Y99.00
Resistance 1: Y98.20
Current price: Y97.33
Support 1: Y96.80
Support 2: Y96.00
Support 3: Y95.70
Comments: The pair was corrected from the reached minima. Resistance is
presented by levels FIBO of falling Y102,40-Y96,80: Y98,20 (23,6 %, and
also area of a sessional maximum), Y99,00 (38,2 %) and Y99,60 (50,0 %).
The nearest level of support is the area of a sessional minimum on
Y96,80, below possible falling to Y96,00 then there is possible testing
Y95,70 (a minimum on March, 17th).
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| 23.10 07:43 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.1830
Resistance 2: Chf1.1780
Resistance 1: Chf1.1700
Current price: Chf1.1675
Support 1: Chf1.1580
Support 2: Chf1.1400
Support 3: Chf1.1350
Comments: The pair is consolidated after yesterday's movement. The
nearest resistance is located in the field of session and yesterday's
high on Chf1,1700, above is located the high of October 21 2007 on
Chf1.1780. Overcoming of the given mark will open road to the top
border of the ascending channel since July 17 on Chf1,1830. Support is
located in the field of session low Chf1.1580. Overcoming of the given
mark will open road to former resistance Chf1.1400. Below there is a
chance of return to area Chf1.1350 where there is a bottom border of
the channel and in area of minima 14, 15, on October, 16th and 17
Chf1.1270/90.
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| 23.10 07:23 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.6660
Resistance 2: $1.6460
Resistance 1: $1.6320
Current price: $1.6293
Support 1: $1.6130
Support 2: $1.5960
Support 3: $1.5870
Comments: The rate is consolidated after yesterday's falling. As the
nearest support acts the area of a yesterday's low on $1,6130. The area
$1.5960/70 represents 100 % of a projection $2.0135/1.7445 and 200 %
$1.8795/1.7445. $1.5770 are 100 % a projection of decrease in
September-October, and $1.5610 represents a low August-September, 2003.
Resistance is in area of a sessionn high on $1.6320. Above is possible
restoration to $1,6460 and further to $1,6660 (23,6 % and 38.2 % FIBO
of falling $1,7520-$ 1,6130.
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| 23.10 07:00 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.3040
Resistance 2: $1.2920
Resistance 1: $1.2860
Current price: $1.2809
Support 1: $1.2750
Support 2: $1.2680
Support 3: $1.2470
Comments: Today the pair has updated a 20-month's low. The nearest
support is presented by area of session and yesterday's lows on
$1,2730/50. In the field of $1.2680/60 there are low of
October-November 2006. The area of low of second half of 2006
$1.2480/60 in our opinion is represented a ultimate goal of current
movement. The area of a session high on $1.2860 is intermediate
resistance. Above the purpose of growth becomes a level $1,920 (23,6 %
FIBO of falling $1,3530-1,2730 $). Overcoming of the given mark will
open road to $1,3040 (38,2 %).
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| 23.10 06:41 |
Daily History for Okt 22, 2008
High Low Close
EUR/USD 1.3077 1.2743 1.2823
USD/JPY 100.56 97.20 98.00
GBP/USD 1.6717 1.6135 1.6220
USD/CHF 1.1711 1.1506 1.1644
EUR/JPY 131.45 124.70 125.70
EUR/GBP 0.7954 0.7809 0.7906
GBP/JPY 167.94 157.83 158.85
GBP/CHF 1.9254 1.8810 1.8887
Change % Change Last
Nikkei -631.56 -6.8% 8 674.69
Topix -67.41 -7.1% 889.23
FTSE -188.84 -4.46% 4,040.89
DAX -213.34 -4.46% 4,571.07
CAC -177.22 -5.10% 3,298.18
Dow -514.45 -5.69% 8,519.21
NASDAQ -80.93 -4.77% 1,615.75
S&P -58.27 -6.10% 896.78
10yr Note -0.8500 -0.230% 3.618%
NYMEX Crude Oil -5.43 -7.52% 66.75
Gold -32.80 -4.27% 735.20
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| 23.10 06:21 |
Schedule for today, Thursday, Okt 23, 2008
08:00 Е15 Current account (August) unadjusted, bln -1,1 08:00 Е15 Current account (August) adjusted, bln -1,7 08:30 UK Retail sales (September), YoY 3.3% 08:30 UK Retail sales (September) 1.2% 08:30 UK BBA Net Mortgage Lending (Sep), bln 2,1 09:00 Е15 Industrial orders (August) Y/Y 3,8% 1,6% 09:00 Е15 Industrial orders (August) -0,3% 1,0% 12:30 USA Jobless claims (week to 18.10) 475К 461К 14:00 USA Housing Price Index (MoM) (Aug) -0,6% 14:30 Canada Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Report 20:30 USA M2 money supply (13.10), bln -31,9
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