|
|
| 19.11 19:41 |
Newedge Strategy says the tone of the Oct 28-29 FOMC minutes "is generally dovish. In our view, the minutes pave the way for further (rate) cuts near term." |
| 19.11 19:38 |
Dow -226.12 at 8200.70, Nasdaq -58.85 at 1426.25, S&P -31.80 at 828.30
Stocks trade at or near session lows in broad-based weakness. Within
the S&P 500, 484 stocks are posting a loss, with 152 falling to
fresh 52-week lows. Ford (F 1.28, -0.40) is one of the largest percent
losers with a decline of 24%
|
| 19.11 19:30 |
USD/JPY under pressure as US stocks slide furthed
Now extending losses to Y96.10 area in the wake of the FOMC minutes and
as stocks retain steep losses, but talk earlier suggested some bids
clustered around Y95.95/00. Some stops eyed sub Y95.70 with bids
Y95.50/60.
|
| 19.11 19:01 |
US: Oct 28-29 FOMC minutes
Some members felt "additional policy easing could well be appropriate"
but suggest there is only limited room for lowering FF rate further and
this should be done slowly. Such suggests consideration of uantitative
easing (details not specified). Fed cut its econ forecasts, to flat to
+0.3% GDP in '08 and +0.2% to +1.1% GDP in '09 and said there was
greater than normal uncertainty in the outlook. Also see unemployment
rising to 7.1%-7.6% in '09, with risks for a worse outcome.
|
| 19.11 18:44 |
Dow -194.74 at 8230.21, Nasdaq -53.20 at 1430.27, S&P -27.63 at 831.41
Stocks prices remain depressed in broad-based weakness. Decliners
outpace advancers by nearly 9-to-1 on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq by
16-to-3.
The FOMC will release the minutes for its Oct. 29 meeting in about
thirty minutes. At the meeting, the FOMC cut the target fed funds rate
by 50 basis points to 1.00%, noting increased economic risks and
decreased inflation risks. Since the meeting, the effective fed funds
rate has averaged 0.29% as the Fed pumped massive amounts of liquidity
into the system to stave off a financial market collapse.
|
| 19.11 18:29 |
Dow -158.66 at 8267.73, Nasdaq -50.31 at 1432.52, S&P -25.22 at 834.35
Stocks trade near recently reached session lows. Treasuries continue
to rally. The 10-year note is up 38 ticks, sending its yield down to
3.39%. The 30-year bond is up more than two points, sending its yield
to 3.99%.
Gold prices are up only 0.4% to $735.40 per ounce after trading with a
gain of 4.4% at $764.80 per ounce earlier this session. Gains were
pared as the dollar recovered to the unchanged mark from a loss of 1.4%.
|
| 19.11 18:29 |
Crude oil holds $54.80, -$0.40 on the day, about the middle of the day's $53.30/55.34 range. |
| 19.11 18:10 |
American focus: [M]
The yen advanced against the dollar and the euro as traders speculated
a global drop in stocks will prompt investors to sell higher-yielding
assets and pay back low-cost loans in Japan's currency. The Standard
& Poor's 500 Index lost 2.7 percent.
``Everything is correlated to equities,'' said Firas Askari, head
currency trader at BMO Capital Markets in Toronto. ``I don't believe
risk appetite will recover any time soon, so the yen will still
appreciate. The market seems fragile.''
The yen advanced 14 percent versus the dollar, 33 percent against the
euro and 53 percent against the Australian dollar in the past three
months as the global economy headed toward a recession.
Japan's currency reached a 13-year high of 90.93 per dollar last month,
threatening exporters' earnings and reducing the value of Japan's U.S.
government debt holdings.
``I would recommend a continuation pattern of buying the yen,'' said
David Bloom, the London-based global head of currency strategy at HSBC
Plc, Europe's biggest bank by market value. ``Don't throw your coin in
the well and wait around listening for the bottom of the market. This
financial crisis is not over.''
|
| 19.11 17:51 |
Dow -207.80 at 8214.00, Nasdaq -51.22 at 1432.05, S&P -28.84 at 829.74
The major indices extend their declines, with the S&P 500 down more than 3% in broad-based weakness.
Shares of Yahoo! (YHOO 10.11, -1.44) extended losses after Microsoft's
(MSFT 18.92, -0.70) CEO said the company is no longer interested in
acquiring Yahoo, but is open to looking into a possible search
collaboration. Yahoo shares gained 8.2% yesterday on news that Yahoo
CEO Jerry Yang was stepping down, raising speculation that MSFT may
show renewed interest.
|
| 19.11 17:29 |
BAS economist Gary Bigg says "October's tumble in permits points to weakening construction activity." He says hsg will continue to weaken for some time." |
| 19.11 17:17 |
Dow -194.02 at 8226.54, Nasdaq -45.86 at 1436.84, S&P -25.95 at 832.95 |
| 19.11 17:16 |
HFE says CPI "reflects the crunch in discretionary consumer spending, which is likely to persist for the foreseeable future. Core will keep slowing; headline will go negative in mid-09." |
| 19.11 16:58 |
Dow -188.05 at 8237.26, Nasdaq -35.94 at 1444.85, S&P -24.85 at 834.27
The S&P 500 extends its decline to nearly 3% as selling pressure
picks up. The financial (-6.6%), material (-3.5%) sectors have both hit
fresh 52-week lows. Retailers (-4.1%) have also fallen to a new
52-week low.
General Mills (GIS 65.12, -0.21) reaffirmed its fiscal year 2009
guidance of earnings between $3.81 and $3.85 per share, which is short
of the $3.90 consensus estimate.
Automakers (-16.1%) continue to decline as the House Financial Services
Committee testimony continues. Reports that Toyota Motor (TM 61.00,
-2.25) is cutting North American production is also weighing on U.S.
automakers.
|
| 19.11 16:50 |
EUR/USD under pressure
Now sets fresh lows for the session below $1.2580 in the wake of the
London fixing, no doubt some skittish trading adding to the move but US
stock weakness also contributing via euro-yen. Minor support at
$1.2571, the Low 18 Nov.
|
| 19.11 15:49 |
Dow -36.00 at 8386.04, Nasdaq -2.46 at 1479.15, S&P -4.39 at 853.50
Stocks briefly recover into positive ground, but renewed selling interest sends the stock market back into the red.
Gold futures are in rally mode, climbing 3.6% to $758.80 per ounce. Gold is benefiting from a 1.2% drop in the dollar.
U.S. automakers are currently testifying before the House Financial
Services Committee, which follows their appearance before the Senate
Banking Committee yesterday. Both Ford (F 1.49, -0.19) and General
Motors (GM 2.75, -0.34) have fallen to multi-decade lows this session
as many lawmakers are showing resistance to giving the automakers aid.
|
| 19.11 15:37 |
US: EIA oil data for wk Nov 14: "U.S. commercial crude oil inventories at 313.5 million barrels. |
| 19.11 15:05 |
Newedge: "core inflation has posted its first monthly decline since the early 80s, underpinning the scenario of a sharp deceleration in inflation due to weak demand." |
| 19.11 14:43 |
Dow -32.90 at 8391.06, Nasdaq -5.24 at 1478.03, S&P -3.03 at 856.09
The stock market opens with modest losses. Consumer prices fell by the largest amount since at least 1947, fueled
by a sharp drop in energy prices. Prices outside of energy also fell,
reflecting the weak economy, and resulting in core CPI falling 0.1%.
Oil is up 1.2% to $55.05 per barrel as the dollar falls 1.0%. The
government will release its weekly energy inventory data at 15:35 GMT.
|
| 19.11 14:29 |
Before the bell:
Futures remain sharply lower on bleak housing reading, record decline
in consumer prices. Investors keep Big Three bailout in focus.
 
More bad news emerged from the housing sector Wednesday as readings on
housing starts and building permit sank to historic lows during the
month of October. The Commerce Department said housing starts fell
to an annual rate of 791,000 last month, down from the revised reading
of 828,000 in the prior month. That represents the lowest level since
the department began tracking starts in 1959.
And building permits plunged 12% last month to an annual rate of
708,000, breaking the previous low of 709,000 in March 1975. The annual
rate for September was revised to 805,000, the government said.
Concerns about the housing slump pressured stocks a day earlier after a
survey of homebuilders showed sentiment fell to yet another low in
November.
But U.S. stocks managed to finish the day in positive territory. The
Dow gained 1.8%, the S&P 500 index rose 1% and the Nasdaq composite
ended little changed.
Overseas markets weren't buoyed, however, by the gains on Wall Street.
Asian markets finished Wednesday's session lower and European stocks
tumbled in morning trading.
Consumer prices also plunged by a record amount in October, the
Labor Department reported. Its Consumer Price Index fell 1% last month,
representing the biggest one-month decline in prices at the consumer
level. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com anticipated a reading of
0.8% in October. The core CPI, which excludes the volatile food and
energy prices fell 0.1% during the month. Economists had expected a
0.1% rise after a 0.1% jump in September.
On Tuesday, the government reported that the wholesale price of goods
fell 2.8% in October, a record drop that was steeper than expected.
Big Three: Still, investors are expected to be paying close attention to what happens with the nation's Big 3 automakers.
Fed minutes: At 1900 GMT, the Fed releases the minutes from its Oct. 29
meeting. The central bank cut a key short-term interest rate by a
half-percentage point to 1% at that meeting.
Companies: Stocks to watch include Boeing. The company is
delaying jet deliveries by as much as 10 weeks as it attempts to
recover from a strike by its machinists, according to a report in the
Wall Street Journal. Oil prices fell 29 cents a barrel to $54.10 in electronic trading.
|
| 19.11 14:07 |
EUR/USD remains within former range
Has ebbed lower in US trading but remains around $1.2635
after peaking around $1.2660 early in the session after stops were
gunned for. Traders report extremely muted flows, overnight
$1.2590/1.2658 range says it all perhaps. Offers $1.2670, with stops atop $1.2700 from model accounts.
|
| 19.11 13:56 |
HSBC notes CPI and housing are at new cycle lows. |
| 19.11 13:32 |
US: Oct US housing starts -4.5% to a record low 791k |
| 19.11 13:30 |
US: Oct CPI a record -1.0% (data go to Feb 1947), core -0.1% (-0.071% unrounded) for YOY rates of +3.7% overall and +2.2% core. |
| 19.11 13:27 |
European session: [M]
The following data were published: 09:30 UK BoE meeting minutes (05-06.11)The
yen rose against the dollar as speculation U.S. lawmakers will fail to
agree on a bailout for automakers cut demand for higher-yielding assets
bought with funds borrowed in Japan. The currency also gained
against the Australian dollar and the British pound as a deepening
global economic slump spurred stock losses in Asia and Europe. A $700
billion U.S. financial stability package isn't intended to prevent
General Motors Corp., Ford Motor Co. and Chrysler LLC from collapsing,
Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said in a House hearing yesterday. The
dollar may extend declines before government reports today that
economists say will show the housing recession at the heart of the U.S.
economic downturn is deepening, bolstering the case for the Federal
Reserve to cut interest rates. The ICE's Dollar Index, a gauge of
the greenback against the currencies of six major trading partners,
snapped two days of gains as futures traders raised bets the Fed will
lower borrowing costs in coming months. A U.S. report yesterday showed
confidence among homebuilders dropped in November to the lowest level
since record-keeping began in 1985. Housing starts in the U.S.
fell to a 780,000 annual pace in October, the lowest since records
began in 1959, according to a Bloomberg News survey of economists.
Building permits dropped to a 774,000 pace last month, the lowest since
November 1981. The Commerce Department releases both reports at 13:30
GMT in Washington. Futures on the Chicago Board of Trade show a 9
percent chance the Fed will reduce its 1 percent target rate for
overnight bank loans to 0.25 percent by its Jan. 28 meeting, up from
zero odds a day earlier.
EUR/USD bargained within the limits of $1,25,90-$ 1,2660. GBP/USD
could rise above a level $1,5000 where has encountered resistance in
the field of $1,5060. At the moment the rate continues to be in the
field of $1,5060. USD/JPY the pair was consolidated within the limits of Y96,30-Y96,90.

US data starts at 1200GMT with the MBA Mortgage Application Index,
though the main releases are at 1330GMT with the CPI, housing starts
and building permits for October. The CPI is expected to fall 0.8% in
October, reflecting an expected decline in energy prices, particularly
gasoline. Core CPI is expected to rise 0.1%. Housing starts are
expected to slow to a 780,000 seasonally adjusted annual rate, as
builders continue to slash new home output to match falling demand. At
Late US data sees the 1900GMT release of the Federal Reserve minutes from the Oct 28-29 FOMC meeting, in Washington.
|
| 19.11 13:26 |
ML says even if there are favorable inflation reports, "We are just at the tip of the deflation prints." |
| 19.11 12:43 |
CRUDE OIL: WTI Nymex $54.13 (-$0.26) |
| 19.11 12:42 |
FTSE -83.63 at 4,124.92, CAC -55,14 at 3,162.26, Dax -83,45 at 4,496.02 |
| 19.11 11:51 |
European focus:
The yen rose against the dollar as speculation U.S. lawmakers will fail to agree on a bailout for automakers cut demand for higher-yielding assets bought with funds borrowed in Japan. The currency also gained against the Australian dollar and the British pound as a deepening global economic slump spurred stock losses in Asia and Europe. A $700 billion U.S. financial stability package isn't intended to prevent General Motors Corp., Ford Motor Co. and Chrysler LLC from collapsing, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said in a House hearing yesterday. ``The focus at the moment is on concerns about the U.S. auto sector and fears that Congress will not be able to cobble something together,'' said Steven Barrow, a currency strategist at Standard Bank Plc in London. ``That is helping to give the yen support.'' ``I would recommend a continuation pattern of buying the yen,'' said David Bloom, the London-based global head of currency strategy at HSBC Plc, Europe's biggest bank by market value. ``Don't throw your coin in the well and wait around listening for the bottom of the market. This financial crisis is not over.'' The dollar may extend declines before government reports today that economists say will show the housing recession at the heart of the U.S. economic downturn is deepening, bolstering the case for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. The ICE's Dollar Index, a gauge of the greenback against the currencies of six major trading partners, snapped two days of gains as futures traders raised bets the Fed will lower borrowing costs in coming months. A U.S. report yesterday showed confidence among homebuilders dropped in November to the lowest level since record-keeping began in 1985. ``The reports are likely to indicate the U.S. economy is deteriorating further,'' said Yuji Saito, head of the foreign- exchange group in Tokyo at Societe Generale SA, France's second- largest bank by market value. ``The Fed may cut rates more. It's negative for the dollar.'' Housing starts in the U.S. fell to a 780,000 annual pace in October, the lowest since records began in 1959, according to a Bloomberg News survey of economists. Building permits dropped to a 774,000 pace last month, the lowest since November 1981. The Commerce Department releases both reports at 13:30 GMT in Washington. Futures on the Chicago Board of Trade show a 9 percent chance the Fed will reduce its 1 percent target rate for overnight bank loans to 0.25 percent by its Jan. 28 meeting, up from zero odds a day earlier. ``The dollar may face some selling pressure,'' said Masahiro Sato, joint general manager in Tokyo of the treasury division at Mizuho Trust & Banking Co., a unit of Japan's second-largest publicly listed lender. ``Traders will look for any signs of crisis at the Fed or anything that suggests rates will fall further.''
|
| 19.11 11:34 |
JPY/USD techs:
Resistance 3: Y199.45
Resistance 2: Y98.50
Resistance 1: Y97.40
Current price: Y96.84
Support 1: Y95.90
Support 2: Y94.40
Support 3: Y93.60
Comments: The yen bargains near former levels. Support Y95,90 is a
level 61,8%FIBO growth Y94,40-Y98,30. Below possible decrease to
Thursday's low on Y94,40 and further to level Y93,60 (76,4 % FIBO of
growth Y90,90-Y100,55). Above yesterday's maximum on Y97,40 will open
road to level Y98,50 (38,2%FIBO falling Y110,65-Y90,90). Then is
possible growth to Y99,45 (high of November 10).
|
| 19.11 11:14 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.2215
Resistance 2: Chf1.2140
Resistance 1: Chf1.2085
Current price: Chf1.2061
Support 1: Chf1.2000
Support 2: Chf1.1960
Support 3: Chf1.1880
Comments: Tech hasnэt changed. The pair continues to bargain slightly
above mark Chf1,2000 which for today is the nearest level of support.
Overcoming of level Chf1,2000 will open road to Chf1.1960 (23,6 % FIBO
of growth Chf1.1550-Chf1.2085), further are possible decrease to
Chf1.1880 (38,2 %). The session high at level Chf1,2085 is the nearest
resistance. Above is possible growth to Chf1,2140 (area of high of
September of the last year and low of June and February of the last
year) and further to Chf1,2215 (area of high of August 2008).
|
| 19.11 10:57 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.5370
Resistance 2: $1.5220
Resistance 1: $1.5060
Current price: $1.5047
Support 1: $1.4655
Support 2: $1.4555
Support 3: $1.4280
Comments: The pound tests resistance in the field of $1,5060 (38,2 %
FIBO from falling $1,5880-$ 1,4555). Above are located levels $1,5220
(50,0 %) and $1,5370 (61,8 %). As the nearest support acts the area of
Friday'a and Monday's low on $1,4655. Below is located the level of a
low of the last Thursday on $1,4555 (the level $1,4530 is area of low
of June 2002). Further decrease in area $1,4280 (low of April 2002) is
possible.
|
| 19.11 10:45 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.2860
Resistance 2: $1.2790
Resistance 1: $1.2700
Current price: $1.2628
Support 1: $1.2510
Support 2: $1.2385
Support 3: $1.2330
Comments: Tech on euro hasn't changed. As the nearest support acts the
level $1,2510 (aMonday's low). Overcoming of the given level will open
road to $1,2385 (area of Friday's low). Below possible falling to two
years low on $1,2330. The nearest resistance is the level $1,2700 (a
line of resistance since October 14, and also the top border of a
triangle). Further growth to $1,2790 (the price of closing of the last
week) is possible. In case of continuation of growth by resistance will
act the area $1,2860/80 ($1,2860 - a maximum of Thursday, $1,2880 - a
level 38,2%FIBO falling $1,3765-$ 1,2330).
|
| 19.11 10:38 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1500GMT cut
EUR/USD $1.2650, $1.2700, $1.2490, $1.2400, $1.3030 USD/JPY Y96.75, Y96.50, Y97.00, Y94.20/00, Y106.00 USD/CHF Chf1.2100 AUD/USD $0.6930
|
| 19.11 10:37 |
MPC Voted 9-0 to cut rates 150bp at november meeting
The Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee voted 9-0 to cut rates by 150 basis points on Nov 6, minutes of the meeting show. Although the MPC agreed the Inflation Report justified a cut of over 200bp, the MPC wanted to wait to assess new fiscal measures to be announced by the government before cutting more. The MPC also showed concern at the impact which too big a cut might have on financial markets, fearing it could lead to an excessive drop in sterling. The MPC decided it made sense to delay some of the needed rate cut in order to better explain the case for a large reduction. These minutes are consistent with at least a further 50bp rate cut at the Dec MPC meeting depending on the ambition of the Nov. 24 PBR.
|
| 19.11 10:36 |
Asian session:
The yen rose against the dollar as speculation U.S. lawmakers will fail
to agree on a bailout for automakers damped demand for carry trades,
buying higher- yielding overseas assets with funds borrowed in Japan.
The currency also gained against the Australian dollar and the British
pound as a deepening global economic slump spurred Asian stock losses.
A $700 billion U.S. financial stability package isn't intended to
prevent General Motors Corp., Ford Motor Co. and Chrysler LLC from
collapsing, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said in a House hearing
yesterday.
The U.S. economy would suffer a ``catastrophic collapse'' if domestic
carmakers fail, GM Chief Executive Rick Wagoner said yesterday. Three
million jobs would be lost within the first year and government tax
losses would total $156 billion over three years, Wagoner told a Senate
panel.
The dollar may extend declines before government reports today that
economists say will show the housing recession at the heart of the U.S.
economic downturn is deepening, bolstering the case for the Federal
Reserve to cut interest rates.
The ICE's Dollar Index, a gauge of the greenback against the currencies
of six major trading partners, snapped two days of gains as futures
traders raised bets the Fed will lower borrowing costs in coming
months. A U.S. report yesterday showed confidence among homebuilders
dropped in November to the lowest level since record-keeping began in
1985.
Housing starts in the U.S. fell to a 780,000 annual pace in October,
the lowest since records began in 1959, according to a Bloomberg News
survey of economists. Building permits dropped to a 774,000 pace last
month, the lowest since November 1981. The Commerce Department releases
both reports at 13:30 GMT in Washington.
Futures on the Chicago Board of Trade show a 9 percent chance the Fed
will reduce its 1 percent target rate for overnight bank loans to 0.25
percent by its Jan. 28 meeting, up from zero odds a day earlier.
The dollar may also decline as economists say data today will show U.S.
consumer prices fell 0.8 percent in October, the most since 1949, after
being unchanged the previous month. The Fed will also today release
minutes of its Oct. 29 meeting where policy makers cut rates by half a
percentage point.
EUR/USD has been limited by frameworks $1,2600-$ 1,2650.
GBP/USD remained within the limits of $1,4900-$ 1,5000.
USD/JPY having established minima in the field of Y96,30, the pair has receded in area Y96,60.
The UK leads the data releases for the European morning. At 0930GMT,
the Bank of England publishes the minutes of the November 5-6 Monetary
Policy Committee meeting.
US data starts at 1200GMT with the MBA Mortgage Application Index,
though the main releases are at 1330GMT with the CPI, housing starts
and building permits for October. The CPI is expected to fall 0.8% in
October, reflecting an expected decline in energy prices, particularly
gasoline. Core CPI is expected to rise 0.1%. Housing starts are
expected to slow to a 780,000 seasonally adjusted annual rate, as
builders continue to slash new home output to match falling demand. At
Late US data sees the 1900GMT release of the Federal Reserve minutes
from the Oct 28-29 FOMC meeting, in Washington.
|
| 19.11 08:42 |
Stock market: Tuesday summary
Japan's stocks fell, led by developers and insurance companies, on
concern the slowing economy will reduce property demand and push up
securities losses on company balance sheets. The Nikkei 225
Stock Average broke 194.17, or 2.3 percent, to close at 8,328.41 in
Tokyo, breaking a two-day gain. The broader Topix index slid 15.05, or
1.8 percent, to 835.44, with 22 of its 33 industry groups dropping. Sony Financial Holdings Inc., operator of Japan's fifth-largest insurer
by value, dropped 9.2 percent after first-half earnings fell by more
than a quarter.
Japan's three biggest banks, including Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group
Inc., cut by more than half their full-year earnings forecasts in the
past month as bad-loan costs rose. Tighter bank lending has contributed
to 21 bankruptcies among Japan's property stocks this year, with the
Dix Kuroki Co. becoming the latest failure last week. The
government confirmed yesterday Japan slid into its first recession
since 2001 as overseas demand faltered and companies cut back
investment. Economic and Fiscal Policy Minister Kaoru Yosano today said
he isn't confident the nation's economy will rebound next fiscal year. Mitsubishi
Estate lost 8.3 percent to 1,280 yen, the lowest close since August
2005. Market leader Mitsui Fudosan Co. sank 5.9 percent to 1,302 yen.
Condominium developer Hoosiers Corp. plunged 17 percent to 4,850 yen.
The Topix Real Estate Index fell for a sixth day, closing at the lowest
level since January 2004. Sompo Japan Insurance Inc. retreated 8.9
percent to 700 yen. Tokio Marine Holdings Inc., Japan's biggest listed
insurer, dropped 8.8 percent to 2,845 yen. Moody's Investors Service
today said it may cut its credit rating on unlisted Asahi Mutual Life
Insurance Co. as a drop in shares may erode the insurer's capital.
Moody's, which rates Asahi Baa3, said it may reduce the rating by one
or more levels.
European stocks rose as higher oil prices
lifted energy producers and better-than-expected earnings from
Hewlett-Packard Co. and Home Depot Inc. eased concern the recession
will snuff out profits. Total SA, Europe's third-largest
energy producer, and BP Plc climbed more than 4 percent as crude
gained. Alcatel-Lucent SA jumped 4.8 percent on Dassault Aviation's
1.56 billion-euro ($2 billion) offer for Alcatel's stake in Thales SA. National
benchmark indexes increased in nine of the 18 markets in western
Europe. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 rose 1.9 percent, and France's CAC 40
gained 1.1 percent. Germany's DAX added 0.5 percent. Total climbed
4.6 percent to 40.76 euros. BP, Europe's second-biggest oil producer,
added 4.1 percent to 507.5 pence, and Royal Dutch Shell Plc, the
largest, gained 3.9 percent to 1,693 pence. Alcatel-Lucent jumped
4.8 percent to 1.90 euros. Dassault Aviation offered 1.56 billion euros
($2 billion) for Alcatel- Lucent's 20.8 percent stake in Thales SA. BNP
Paribas SA dropped 5.1 percent to 40.81 euros. UBS AG, the Swiss bank
that got a $59.2 billion aid package from the state and central bank,
lost 3.5 percent to 13.27 francs. The cost of protecting bank
bonds from default rose to the highest in almost a month as prices of
mortgage-linked securities tumble. Bilfinger Berger AG, Germany's
second-largest construction company, led construction shares lower
after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. added the stock to its ``conviction
sell'' list, citing expectations for lower capital spending in
chemicals and oil industries. The shares lost 4.9 percent to 30.61
euros. Hochtief AG, Germany's biggest construction company, sank 2.8
percent to 27.66 euros.
Stocks rose 1.0% in a volatile
session as traders digested testimony from the heads of the Federal
Reserve, Treasury and FDIC, upside earnings guidance from
Hewlett-Packard and speculation regarding the future of U.S. automakers. The
S&P 500 climbed to a 1.8% gain at mid-day, and then dropped to a
loss of 2.8% in the final hour of trade before a surge in buying
interest sent the S&P 500 back into positive territory at the
closing bell. Seven of the ten economic sectors posted a gain. Fed
Chairman Bernanke, Treasury Secretary Paulson and FDIC Chairman Bair
were called to testify about the $700 billion financial relief package
before the House Financial Services Committee. Bernanke said there
are some signs that credit markets are improving, although they remain
strained. Treasury Secretary Paulson defended scrapping the original
plan to buy troubled assets, saying that direct capital injections were
more effective given the sharp deterioration in financial markets.
Paulson believes the economy will not recover as fast as anyone would
like, but will recover at a quicker pace because of the relief package. In
corporate news, Hewlett-Packard (HPQ 33.58, +4.24) announced
preliminary fourth quarter earnings that topped estimates and issued
fiscal year 2009 earnings guidance that was above expectations. Yahoo!
(YHOO 11.48, +0.85) gained after announcing that co-founder Jerry Yang
will step down as CEO as soon as a replacement is found, raising
speculation that Microsoft (MSFT 19.62, +0.43) could show renewed
takeover interest. In earnings news, Saks (SKS 3.27, -0.58) tumbled
after missing third quarter earnings expectations, while Home Depot (HD
20.71, +0.71) rose after topping estimates. Both retailers were
cautions about the near-term outlook. Retailers as a whole fell 0.2%. Shares
of General Motors (GM 3.09, -0.09) and Ford (F 1.68, -0.04) fell to
multi-decade lows. The automakers, along with Chrysler and the United
Auto Workers, are scheduled to testify today before the Senate Banking
Committee regarding possible aid for the struggling U.S. auto industry. In
economic news, domestic producer prices in October dropped by a
larger-than-expected amount due to the sharp decline in energy prices.
Specifically, October PPI dropped 2.8% month over month, compared to
the expected decline of 1.9%. Core PPI, which excludes food and energy,
rose 0.4%, which was larger than the expected increase of 0.1%.
|
| 19.11 08:37 |
JPY/USD techs:
Resistance 3: Y199.45
Resistance 2: Y98.50
Resistance 1: Y97.40
Current price: Y96.79
Support 1: Y95.90
Support 2: Y94.40
Support 3: Y93.60
Comments: The rate remains within the limits of range Y95,90-Y97,40
which borders act as the nearest levels of support/resistance
accordingly. Support Y95,90 is a level 61,8%FIBO growth Y94,40-Y98,30.
Below possible decrease to Thursday's low on Y94,40 and further to
level Y93,60 (76,4 % FIBO of growth Y90,90-Y100,55). Above yesterday's
maximum on Y97,40 will open road to level Y98,50 (38,2%FIBO falling
Y110,65-Y90,90). Then is possible growth to Y99,45 (high of November
10).
|
| 19.11 08:13 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.2215
Resistance 2: Chf1.2140
Resistance 1: Chf1.2070
Current price: Chf1.2061
Support 1: Chf1.2000
Support 2: Chf1.1950
Support 3: Chf1.1870
Comments: The pair tries will be fixed above mark Chf1,2000 which for
today is the nearest level of support. Overcoming of level Chf1,2000
will open road to Chf1.1950 (23,6 % FIBO of growth
Chf1.1550-Chf1.2055), further are possible decrease to Chf1.1870 (38,2
%). The session high at level Chf1,2055 is the nearest resistance.
Above is possible growth to Chf1,2140 (area of high of September of the
last year and low of June and February of the last year) and further to
Chf1,2215 (area of high of August 2008).
|
| 19.11 07:40 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.5370
Resistance 2: $1.5220
Resistance 1: $1.5060
Current price: $1.4975
Support 1: $1.4655
Support 2: $1.4555
Support 3: $1.4280
Comments: The pound is consolidated before the publication BoE meeting
minutes which can specify the reasons of so sharp reduction of a
discount rate in more details. As the nearest supporta acts the area of
Friday's and Monday's low on $1,4655. Below the level of a low of the
last Thursday on $1,4555 (the level $1,4530 is area of a minimum of
June, 2002) is located. Further decrease in area $1,4280 (low of April
2002) is possible. In case of growth by the nearest resistance there
will be a level $1,5060 (38,2%FIBO from falling $1,5880-$ 1,4555).
Above are located levels $1,5220 (50,0 %) and $1,5370 (61,8 %).
|
| 19.11 07:01 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.2860
Resistance 2: $1.2790
Resistance 1: $1.2700
Current price: $1.2628
Support 1: $1.2510
Support 2: $1.2385
Support 3: $1.2330
Comments: The pair continues to be consolidated within the limits of a
figure of a triangle which top border is a strong line of resistance.
As the nearest support acts the level $1,2510 (aMonday's low).
Overcoming of the given level will open road to $1,2385 (area of
Friday's low). Below possible falling to two years low on $1,2330. The
nearest resistance is the level $1,2700 (a line of resistance since
October 14, and also the top border of a triangle). Further growth to
$1,2790 (the price of closing of the last week) is possible. In case of
continuation of growth by resistance will act the area $1,2860/80
($1,2860 - a maximum of Thursday, $1,2880 - a level 38,2%FIBO falling
$1,3765-$ 1,2330).
|
| 19.11 06:42 |
Daily History for Nov 18, 2008
High Low Close EUR/USD 1.2700 1.2565 1.2617 USD/JPY 97.40 95.99 97.00 GBP/USD 1.5090 1.4898 1.4957 USD/CHF 1.2045 1.1966 1.2029
EUR/JPY 123.57 120.98 122.39 EUR/GBP 0.8457 0.8355 0.8433 GBP/JPY 146.51 143.57 145.10 GBP/CHF 1.8093 1.7902 1.7992
Change % Change Last Nikkei -194.17 -2.3% 8,328.41 Topix -15.05 -1.8% 835.44 FTSE +76.39 +1.85% 4,208.55 DAX +22.20 +0.49% 4,579.47 CAC +35.37 +1.11% 3,217.40 Dow +151.17 +1.83% 8,424.75 NASDAQ +1.22 +0.08% 1,483.27 S&P +8.37 +0.98% 859.12 10yr Note -1.4900 -0.404% 3.535% NYMEX Crude Oil -0.56 -1.02% 54.39 Gold -9.30 -1.25% 732.70
|
| 19.11 06:21 |
Schedule for today, Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008
09:30 UK BoE meeting minutes (05-06.11) 13:30 USA Building permits (October), mln 0,775 0,786 13:30 USA Housing starts (October), mln 0,785 0,815 13:30 USA CPI excluding food and energy (October) Y/Y 2,5% 13:30 USA CPI excluding food and energy (October) 0,2% 0,1% 13:30 USA CPI (October) Y/Y 4,9% 13:30 USA CPI (October) -0,7% 0,0% 19:00 USA FOMC meeting minutes (28-29.10) 23:50 Japan Trade balance (October) unadjusted, trln 0,095
|
|
|