|
|
| 14.11 19:47 |
HSBC says retail sales were terrible
"The key take-away is that Q4 real consumption, which was on track
for -2.5%, is now on track for -3.5%." RBC says the retail report was
worse than expected, but "Hopefully, the decline in gas station
receipts will feed through to higher sales in other sectors, although
that beneficial effect could be dampened by the credit crunch."
|
| 14.11 19:37 |
Insight Economics on US data
Insight Economics says -4.7% Oct import prices was "largely due to
plunging energy prices. With energy prices continuing to retreat, a
further decline in imported goods prices should be posted next month.
In addition, weakness in the global economy is also dampening non-fuel
imported goods prices and non-agricultural export prices."
|
| 14.11 19:37 |
Dow -95.34 at 8739.91, Nasdaq -36.13 at 1560.57, S&P -13.55 at 897.74 |
| 14.11 19:08 |
Dow -195.69 at 8639.44, Nasdaq -48.41 at 1542.36, S&P -24.16 at 883.33 |
| 14.11 18:42 |
Dow -236.47 at 8598.78, Nasdaq -55.99 at 1540.71, S&P -28.69 at 882.60 |
| 14.11 18:42 |
CIBC to sell euro over $1.2700
CIBC strategists suggest selling the euro on
rallies over $1.2700, with a downside target of $1.1650 (before year
end) and a stop at $1.30. The euro has tested and rejected trend
resistance as well as its 21-day moving average ($1.2825) over the past
24 hours, they say. "While price action remains extremely volatile, the
overall direction is clear; prices are heading lower," the strategists
say. Fundamentals are also euro negative. The ECB has cut rates by 50
bps, but the EU two-year bond yields holds 100bps below the ECB target
rate, "a sign that there is much rate cutting left to do," they say.
|
| 14.11 18:14 |
American focus: [M]
The yen rose, heading for weekly gains against the euro and the dollar,
as a drop in U.S. retail sales prompted speculation investors will sell
higher-yielding assets and pay back low-cost loans in Japan's currency.
The dollar was poised for a second weekly gain versus an index of the
currencies of six major trading partners as investors sought the
relative safety of U.S. assets. The yen climbed against the Australian
and New Zealand dollars today on bets a Group of 20 nations summit will
fail to reach a consensus on resolving the credit crisis, sapping carry
trades.
``Consumers are falling off a cliff,'' said Alan Ruskin, head of
international currency strategy in North America at RBS Greenwich
Capital Markets Inc. in Greenwich, Connecticut. ``It's more positive
for the yen than it is for the dollar, but the dollar will do well
against all the other currencies.''
The yen rose 1.5 percent versus the dollar this week, its biggest gain
since Oct. 24, and advanced 2.1 percent against the euro, 3.9 percent
versus the Aussie and 7.1 percent versus the New Zealand dollar.
Sales at U.S. retailers fell 2.8 percent in October, the biggest drop
since records began in 1992, the Commerce Department reported today in
Washington. The dollar briefly pared its loss against yen as the
Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment
unexpectedly rose to 57.9 from 57.6 in October. We wouldn't suggest the
markets are trading on economics as much as on equity flows at this
moment. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index decreased 2.5 percent after
rallying 6.9 percent yesterday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average
dropped 2.8 percent following a gain of 6.7 percent.
The euro fell 0.4 percent this week against the dollar, while the
British pound slid 5.4 percent as the European Central Bank and the
Bank of England faced mounting pressure to lower borrowing costs.
Gross domestic product in the 15 euro nations shrank 0.2 percent from
the previous three months, when it also contracted 0.2 percent, the
European Union's Luxembourg-based statistics office said today. The two
quarters of contraction mark the first recession since the single
currency was introduced almost a decade ago.
``The real pressure on the euro is coming from expectations of a more
dramatic frontloading of the rate-easing cycle by the ECB,'' said Peter
Frank, a London-based currency strategist at Societe Generale SA,
France's second-biggest bank by market value. ``This is definitely a
big negative for the euro right now. It's very much a macro-driven
move.''
The Bank of England is prepared to cut rates from 3 percent, Governor Mervyn King said this week.
Leaders of G-20 countries were gathering in Washington to debate
proposals ranging from curbing executive pay and restraining hedge
funds to raising capital requirements for banks after financial
institutions worldwide lost $958 billion on securities tied to U.S.
mortgages.
|
| 14.11 17:59 |
Dow -304.09 at 8531.16, Nasdaq -66.06 at 1530.64, S&P -35.16 at 876.16
The major indices are pulling upward from their session low, but losses
remain steep. All ten of the economic sectors trading down. The
financial sector is now the worst performing economic sector. It is
down 5.6%, though it was down as much as 6.1% earlier. Every single
industry group represented in the sector is in the red; losses are
steepest in the industrial REITs industry (-20.3%).
|
| 14.11 17:46 |
European equity bourses paring gains towards the close Friday as focus turns back to concerns about global recession.
Oil stocks have surrendered earlier gains as crude oil
prices come under pressure, whilst technology stocks are pressured
after Nokia warned that handset sales will be lower this year than
previously forecast. Stocks are also pressured by the weaker than
expected US retail sales data. CAC-40 is up 22pts (+0.68%), Xetra-DAX is up 78pts (+1.67%), FTSE-100 is up 65pts (+1.57%).
|
| 14.11 17:25 |
ECB MERSCH: Says economic slowdown will damp inflation
-- Says lower commodity prices will also damp inflation.
|
| 14.11 17:07 |
JPM: "We are still tracking close to a -4% figure for real annualized consumption growth in the fourth quarter as well as -4% for GDP." |
| 14.11 16:56 |
Dow -267.67 at 8567.24, Nasdaq -60.97 at 1534.83, S&P -31.38 at 880.35
Stocks post steep losses, falling to session lows. Treasuries are
recouping some of the decline seen yesterday, with the 10-year note up
37 ticks, sending its yield down to 3.71%. Gold prices are in rally mode, climbing 5.2% to $741.40 per barrel.
The White House said it is talking to Congress about accelerating the
$25 billion auto loan package that was already appropriated, Reuters
reports. GM (GM 3.00, +0.05) is trading with a slight gain while Ford (F 1.85, -0.5) posts a loss.
|
| 14.11 16:30 |
BAS: "We estimate that consumer spending will fall about 5% annualized in Q4, and GDP will plunge at only a slightly more moderate pace."
"We
expect further consumption decline in 1Q 2009, at a more moderate 2%
annualized pace.
|
| 14.11 16:13 |
Dow -150.61 at 8684.64, Nasdaq -45.11 at 1551.59, S&P -20.73 at 890.56
Stocks encounter renewed selling pressure and fall to their lowest
level of the morning. All ten of the major economic sectors are
posting hefty losses.
Only the consumer staples sector has kept its losses below 1%. The
sector is currently down 0.7%, thanks to leadership from Dow component
Coca-Cola (KO 46.78, +0.50).
Consumer staples stocks have held up relatively well this year against
broader market forces. Investors have been attracted to their stable
business of consumer products, which kick off steady earnings and cash
flow.
While the stock market has shed nearly 40% year-to-date, the consumer staples sector is down 17% this year.
|
| 14.11 15:36 |
MS on US data
"The retail report had a negative impact on our expectation for the
Q3 GDP revision as well as our tracking estimate for Q4. We now see Q3
being revised to -1.0% (vs our prior expectation of -0.8% and the
original figure of -0.3%). Consumption now appears to have declined
3.3% in Q3. In Q4, we see GDP tracking at -3.7% (vs -3.5% previously)
with consumption at -2.4% (vs -2.0% previously)."
|
| 14.11 15:09 |
USD/JPY still follow the stocks
Spiked to Y97.50 area as Dow traded to near flat but as
stocks subside a bit, so does the dollar. Stops remain largely intact
in the Y97.50/60 area. If triggered test of the Thursday high Y98.25/30 is likely. Bids remain at session low of Y96.10
|
| 14.11 15:03 |
Dow -42.29 at 8792.96, Nasdaq -26.38 at 1570.32, S&P -8.24 at 903.05 |
| 14.11 15:00 |
US: Sept business inventories -0.2% vs flat reading expected. |
| 14.11 14:54 |
US: Nov prelim U-Mich consumer sentiment 57.9 vs 57.6.
Current conditions 61.4 and expectations 55.7. 1y infl 2.9%, 5y infl 2.9%.
|
| 14.11 14:49 |
Dow -79.64 at 8755.61, Nasdaq -26.61 at 1570.09, S&P -11.24 at 900.05
Stocks open with sizable losses. The major indices fail to extend the
prior session's rally, which saw the S&P 500 swing from a loss of
nearly 4% to finish with a gain of nearly 7%.
Continued volatility is expected as investors and traders search for a
bottom to the current bear market. The S&P 500 is currently down
more than 40% from its 52-week high and down nearly 39% year-to-date.
|
| 14.11 14:36 |
ECB TRICHET: World can count on fruitful cenbank cooperation to go on |
| 14.11 14:29 |
ECB TRICHET: Current circimstances are extraordinarily demanding
- Crises in one world region increasingly affecting others.
|
| 14.11 14:21 |
WTI Nymex crude fell around $2.40 to $56.60 session low.
The move coincided with the opening of the Nymex floor trading session.
|
| 14.11 14:11 |
Before the bell: Stocks poised to drop
U.S. stock futures fell early Friday after the previous session's
roaring gains, as investors awaited a key reading on the retail sector
and reacted to reports of massive layoffs at Citigroup.Stock futures have turned lower (S&P futures vs fair value: -18.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value:
-25.50.), suggesting an even weaker
opening for the week's final trading session.
The global leader in
mobile handsets, Nokia (NOK), expects fourth quarter industry volume to
decline, but believes its market share will be unchanged to slightly up
sequentially. Layoffs continue to mount amid economic weakness; Sun
Microsystems (JAVA) announced it will reduce its workforce by 5,000 to
6,000. October import prices were down 4.7% month-over-month,
exceeding the 4.4% downturn that was widely expected. October import
prices were up 6.7% year-over-year, though. The consensus called for
an increase of 8.2% year-over-year. Advance retail sales for October
indicated a 2.8% downturn, though the consensus called for a 2.1%
downturn. Excluding autos, retail sales were down 2.2%, which is worse
than the 1.2% dip that was expected.
|
| 14.11 13:51 |
Gold spiked up $20.0
Gold spikes up $20.0 to $751.80 session high on back of stop loss buying above $740.00. Resistance is now at $770.00/$777.90.
|
| 14.11 13:39 |
ECB ORDONEZ: Sees clear chance of rate cut at next meeting. |
| 14.11 13:31 |
US: October retail sales fell 2.8% overall, ex auto -2.2%, ex gas an mot vehicles -0.5%. |
| 14.11 13:30 |
US: Oct U.S. import prices -4.7%, ex-oil -0.9%, ex-fuel -0.8%. |
| 14.11 13:12 |
European session: [M]
The following data were published:
10:00 Е15 Harmonized CPI (October) final 0.0%
10:00 Е15 Harmonized CPI (October) final Y/Y 3.2%
10:00 Е15 Harmonized CPI ex EFAT (October) Y/Y 1.9%
10:00 Е15 GDP (Q3) flash -0.2%
10:00 Е15 GDP (Q3) flash Y/Y 0.7%
The yen rose, heading for weekly gains against the dollar and the euro,
as signs of a deepening global economic slump prompted investors to
pare holdings of higher-yielding assets funded in Japan.
Japan's currency also climbed this week against the Australian and New
Zealand dollars on speculation a Group of 20 nations summit starting
today will fail to reach a consensus on resolving the credit crisis.
The euro headed for a weekly drop after a government report showed
Europe's economy fell into its first recession in 15 years in the third
quarter, paving the way for deeper cuts to interest rates.
The yen typically rises when demand falls for so-called carry trades,
where investors borrow in currencies with low interest rates and buy
assets in nations with higher rates.
U.S. President George W. Bush yesterday urged leaders of the world's
biggest economies not to abandon free-market capitalism following the
seizure in credit markets. G-20 leaders including Australian Prime
Minister Kevin Rudd and French President Nicolas Sarkozy have used the
crisis to demand greater government control of markets and to attack
the U.S. for failing to rein in investors and speculators.
Leaders of G-20 countries gather in Washington to debate proposals
ranging from curbing executive pay and restraining hedge funds to
raising capital requirements for banks after financial institutions
worldwide lost $958 billion on securities tied to U.S. mortgages.
Gross domestic product in the 15 euro nations shrank 0.2 percent from
the previous three months, when it also contracted 0.2 percent, the
European Union's Luxembourg-based statistics office said today. The two
quarters of contraction -- the result of this year's surges in the cost
of credit, the euro and oil prices -- mark the first recession since
the single currency was introduced almost a decade ago.
EUR/USD the rate continues to be consolidated in the field of a level $1,2700.
GBP/USD has overcome the bottom border of a morning range $1,4770-$ 1,4930, having established that a session low on $1,4683.
USD/JPY
the pair continues to be corrected after yesterday's growth. The rate
has updated a session low having decreased in area Y96,20.

In second half of day there will be an information on the prices for
import and retails in the USA (13:30 GMT). Later, at 14:55 GMT, it is
necessary to pay attention to the publication of Michigan sentiment
index (November) preliminary.
|
| 14.11 12:38 |
ECB ORPHANIDES: Shouldn't consider more rate cuts unlikely
- Inflation outlook much more favourable now - New Staff forecasts to be much more pessimistic - Today's GDP data reflect real economy deterioration - If inflation turns negative, only temporary - ECB will act appropriately;price stability always focus - Seeing real impact of financial crisis - Energy price fall could lead to negative HICP
|
| 14.11 12:20 |
Citigroup now expect the ECB to cut either 75bp or 100bp in December
Citigroup now expect the ECB to cut either 75bp or 100bp in December and further cuts in 2009, writes Citi economist Jurgen Michels. The report cites the latest monthly ECB bulletin in combination with negative economic news (e.g. larger than expected fall in 3Q German GDP and downward revision of the growth and inflation forecasts by the IMF and the OECD). Citi were previously looking for ECB to cut again by at least 50bp in December.
|
| 14.11 12:02 |
JPM: GDP is tracking -0.7%
JPM economist Abiel Reinhart says Q3 GDP is tracking -0.7%. He says "September hurricanes may have disrupted exports passing through Gulf Coast ports. Nonetheless, September does not appear to have been a good month for exports, which is likely a sign of things to come. Foreign growth has slowed and the value of the dollar has increased, both of which should damp export growth in future quarters."
|
| 14.11 11:53 |
European focus:
The yen rose, heading for weekly gains against the dollar and the euro, as signs of a deepening global economic slump prompted investors to pare holdings of higher-yielding assets funded in Japan. Japan's currency also climbed this week against the Australian and New Zealand dollars on speculation a Group of 20 nations summit starting today will fail to reach a consensus on resolving the credit crisis. The euro headed for a weekly drop after a government report showed Europe's economy fell into its first recession in 15 years in the third quarter, paving the way for deeper cuts to interest rates. ``This is a difficult environment for risky assets so there's still upside for the yen in coming weeks,'' said Marcus Hettinger, a currency strategist in Zurich at Credit Suisse Group. ``The yen is still undervalued. It is being supported by expectations that interest rates will come down globally and in Japan there is less scope for lower interest rates because they are already very low.'' The yen typically rises when demand falls for so-called carry trades, where investors borrow in currencies with low interest rates and buy assets in nations with higher rates. U.S. President George W. Bush yesterday urged leaders of the world's biggest economies not to abandon free-market capitalism following the seizure in credit markets. G-20 leaders including Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd and French President Nicolas Sarkozy have used the crisis to demand greater government control of markets and to attack the U.S. for failing to rein in investors and speculators. Leaders of G-20 countries gather in Washington to debate proposals ranging from curbing executive pay and restraining hedge funds to raising capital requirements for banks after financial institutions worldwide lost $958 billion on securities tied to U.S. mortgages. ``No one is betting on volatility going down,'' said Shinichi Takasaka, manager of foreign exchange and financial products trading in Tokyo at Mitsubishi UFJ Trust & Banking Corp., a unit of Japan's largest publicly listed bank. ``I don't see any practical plan coming out of the G-20. That's part of the reason why the yen is rising.'' ``We had such a big move yesterday, Japanese exporters are likely to buy the yen on the cheap,'' said Osao Iizuka, head of foreign-exchange trading at Sumitomo Trust & Banking Co. in Tokyo. ``People are also eyeing the G-20 meeting.'' Gross domestic product in the 15 euro nations shrank 0.2 percent from the previous three months, when it also contracted 0.2 percent, the European Union's Luxembourg-based statistics office said today. The two quarters of contraction -- the result of this year's surges in the cost of credit, the euro and oil prices -- mark the first recession since the single currency was introduced almost a decade ago. ``European GDP will confirm the extent of the damage,'' Hans-Guenter Redeker, the London-based global head of currency strategy at BNP Paribas SA, France's biggest bank, wrote in a research note yesterday. ``The BOE might continue to cut rates at a fast pace. We expect sterling to come under further significant downward pressure.''
|
| 14.11 11:40 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1000EST/1500GMT cut
EUR/USD $1.2705/10, $1.2800, $1.2600, $1.3100, $1.2500 USD/JPY Y96.00, Y96.90, Y98.25/30 USD/CAD C$1.2200, C$1.1770
|
| 14.11 11:25 |
FTSE +160.54 at 4,329.75, CAC +78,72 at 3,348.18, Dax +171,46 at 4,820.98 |
| 14.11 11:22 |
JPY/USD techs:
Resistance 3: Y100.55
Resistance 2: Y98.50 Resistance 1: Y97.90 Current price: Y97.10 Support 1: Y96.35 Support 2: Y95.90 Support 3: Y94.40 Comments:
The pair is consolidated near former levels. The nearest support is
presented by a level of 50,0 % FIBO of growth Y94,40-Y98,30 on Y96,35.
Below possible decrease to Y95,90 (61,8 %) and further to a Thursday's
low on Y94,40. The nearest resistance is located in the field of МА
(200) for Н1 on Y97,90. Overcoming of the given mark will open road to
level Y98,50 (38,2%FIBO falling Y110,65-Y90,90). Above growth to
Y100,55 is possible (high of Novembe; above, on Y100,75 the level of
50,0 % FIBO of falling Y110,65-Y90,90is located).
|
| 14.11 10:52 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.2140 Resistance 2: Chf1.2000 Resistance 1: Chf1.1945 Current price: Chf1.1888 Support 1: Chf1.1830 Support 2: Chf1.1775 Support 3: Chf1.1720 Comments:
Tech on USD/Chf hasn't changed. The rate is consolidated after
yesterday's sharp falling which has followed the unsuccessful test of
psychological mark Chf1,2000 - high of 2008. Return to the given level
is possible after overcoming level Chf1,1945. Above Chf1,2000 growth to
level Chf1,2140 (area of a high of September of the last year and lows
of June and February of the last year) is possible. The nearest support
- Chf1.1830 (38,2 % FIBO of growth Chf1.1550-Chf1.2000), further are
possible decrease to Chf1.1775 (50,0 %) and below to Chf1.1720 (61.8 %).
|
| 14.11 10:35 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.5220 Resistance 2: $1.5060 Resistance 1: $1.4930 Current price: $1.4825 Support 1: $1.4555 Support 2: $1.4280 Support 3: $1.4040 Comments:
Tech on GBP/USD hasn't changed. As the nearest support the level of a
yesterday's low on $1,4555 (the level $1,4530 is area of a low of June
2002) acts. Below the level $1,4280 (low of April 2002) is located.
Overcoming of the given mark will open road to area of low of 2002 on
$1,4040. In case of restoration by intermediate resistance there will
be an area of a session high on $1,4930. Above are located FIBO levels
from falling $1,5880-$ 1,4555 on $1,5060 (38,2 %) and $1,5220 (50,0 %).
|
| 14.11 10:25 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.3215 Resistance 2: $1.3040 Resistance 1: $1.2860 Current price: $1.2680 Support 1: $1.2675 Support 2: $1.2565 Support 3: $1.2385 Comments:
The pair tests support in the field of $1,2675 (38,2 % FIBO of
yesterday's growth). Overcoming of the given level will open road to
$1,2565 (61,8 %). Below possible falling to a yesterday's low on
$1,2385. In case of continuation of growth by the nearest resistance
there will be an area of a yesterday's high on $1,2860. Also it is
necessary to note, that in the field of $1,2840 there passes a
descending line of resistance since October 14, and the level $1,2880
is a level 38,2%FIBO falling $1,3765-$ 1,2330. Overcoming of area
$1,2840-$ 1,2880 will open road to a level $1,3040 (50,0 % of falling
$1,3765-$ 1,2330). Above is possible growth to $1,3215 (61,8 %).
|
| 14.11 10:02 |
Е15 data
Harmonized CPI (October) final 0.0% Harmonized CPI (October) final Y/Y 3.2% Harmonized CPI ex EFAT (October) Y/Y 1.9% GDP (Q3) flash -0.2% GDP (Q3) flash Y/Y 0.7%
|
| 14.11 09:42 |
Asian session: [M]
The following data were published:
07:00 Germany CPI (October) final -0,2%
07:00 Germany CPI (October) final Y/Y 2,4%
07:00 Germany HICP (October) final Y/Y 2,5%
The yen rose, heading for weekly gains against the dollar and the euro,
on speculation a prolonged global recession will prompt investors to
pare holdings of higher-yielding assets funded in Japan.
Japan's currency also climbed this week against the Australian and New
Zealand dollars on speculation a Group of 20 nations summit will fail
to reach a consensus on how to tackle the global financial crisis. The
euro and the pound headed for weekly declines on speculation central
banks in Europe and the U.K. will lower interest rates as growth
slumps.
U.S. President George W. Bush yesterday urged leaders of the world's
biggest economies not to abandon free-market capitalism following the
seizure in credit markets. G-20 leaders including Australian Prime
Minister Kevin Rudd and French President Nicolas Sarkozy have used the
crisis to demand greater government control of markets and to attack
the U.S. for failing to rein in investors and speculators.
Leaders of G-20 countries gather in Washington today to debate
proposals ranging from curbing executive pay and restraining hedge
funds to raising capital requirements for banks.
The yen was also buoyed on speculation its 2.7 percent slide against
the dollar and 4.8 percent tumble against the euro yesterday was
excessive. U.S. stocks rallied the most in two weeks and crude oil
rebounded from a 21-month low yesterday, sparking the yen's decline.
Gross domestic product in the 15 euro nations shrank 0.2 percent in the
third quarter after contracting by the same amount in the previous
three-month period, according to a Bloomberg survey. Two consecutive
quarters of contraction would mark the first recession since the single
currency was introduced in 1999. The European Union's statistics office
will release the data at 11 a.m. today in Luxembourg.
Germany, Europe's largest economy, entered a recession in the third quarter, data showed yesterday.
The Bank of England is prepared to cut rates from 3 percent after
predicting U.K. gross domestic product will contract by an annual 1.8
percent in the first quarter, Governor Mervyn King said on Nov. 12.
EUR/USD having begun session in the field of $1,2770, the pair has decreased in area $1,2670.
GBP/USD remained within the limits of $1,4770-$ 1,4930.
USD/JPY having established session high slightly above level Y98,00, the pair has decreased in area Y96,80.

Today will be published the data of inflation in EU (10:00 GMT). In
second half of day there will be an information on the prices for
import and retails in the USA (13:30 GMT).
|
| 14.11 09:13 |
JAPAN STOCKS:
Japan's benchmark stocks ended the day higher, boosted by the sharp overnight rally in the US. However, prices ended shy of their best levels. The benchmark Nikkei 225 was ahead by 223.75 points, or 2.72%, at 8 462,39. The broader-based TOPIX was 7.15 points, ot 0.85%, higher at 844.68.
|
| 14.11 08:53 |
Stock market: Thursday summary
Japan stocks fell to a two-week low as earnings forecasts in the
U.S. indicated the world's biggest economy is weakening, and reports
Japan's biggest banks may sell new shares raised dilution concerns. Sony
Corp. slumped 8.7 percent after U.S. retailer Best Buy Co. cut its
forecast on a spending slowdown, and the yen rose to the highest this
month. Chipmaker Elpida Memory Inc. plunged 13 percent after rival
Intel Corp. cut its sales forecast. Mizuho Financial Group Inc. sank
6.6 percent on speculation it will sell new shares, and the U.S.
Treasury scrapped plans to buy mortgage assets, feeding concern the
financial crisis is deepening. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average dropped
456.87, or 5.3 percent, to close at 8,238.64 in Tokyo. The broader
Topix index fell 37.70, or 4.3 percent, to 837.53. Both gauges sank to
the lowest since Oct. 29. The Nikkei rallied as much as 33 percent from
a 26-year low on Oct. 27, and has since pared that gain by more than
half. ``Best Buy's poor earnings is an indication of just how fast
consumer sentiment is imploding in the U.S.,'' said Kazuya Nakamura,
who helps oversee about $10 billion at Norinchukin Zenkyoren Asset
Management Co. in Tokyo. ``The continued expansion of targets for the
financial bailout package is also indicative of the severity of the
crisis.'' Shimizu Corp. led a rally by construction companies after brokerages lifted their ratings on the companies.
European
stocks fell for a third day, led by banks and commodity producers, as
Germany sank into recession and the OECD forecast a global economic
slump. Barclays Plc slumped 6.2 percent, and BHP Billiton Ltd.
sank 2.3 percent after the Organization for Economic Cooperation and
Development reduced its outlook for global growth and predicted an
``extended period of financial headwinds.'' DSG International Plc
tumbled 32 percent as the London's Times said the U.K. retailer had its
supplier insurance pared back by Atradius. The Dow Jones Stoxx 600
Index lost 0.6 percent to 204.08, pushing this year's retreat to 44
percent. Germany entered its worst recession in at least 12 years. Germany's
DAX gained 0.6 percent, with Siemens AG rallying after Europe's biggest
engineering company said it saw no cancellations of projects. France's
CAC 40 climbed 1.1, led by GDF Suez SA on confirmation of its profit
target.
U.S. stocks gained for the first time this week
as investors snapped up energy shares trading at their cheapest
valuations on record, overshadowing a jump in jobless claims and a
worsening outlook for technology companies. Exxon Mobil Corp.
and Chevron Corp. led gains in all 40 energy producers in the Standard
& Poor's 500 Index as oil rebounded from a 21-month low. CB Richard
Ellis Inc., the world's largest provider of commercial real estate
services, advanced 45 percent after raising money in a share sale. Dell
Inc., the second-biggest maker of personal computers, lost 7 percent as
it was added to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.'s ``conviction sell'' list on
concern that demand is slowing. The S&P 500 added 3.3 percent to
880.25 at 2:50 p.m. in New York, reversing a slide of 3.9 percent. The
Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 228.98 points, or 2.8 percent,
to 8,511.64 after earlier tumbling 317 points. About 11 stocks rose for
every two that fell on the New York Stock Exchange. The gains in
oil producers came after the valuation of the S&P 500 Energy Index
retreated to less than 6.2 times earnings for the group, the cheapest
since Bloomberg began tracking the data in 1995. Exxon Mobil, the
largest oil company, climbed 5 percent to $72.36. Chevron Corp., the
second-biggest U.S. energy company, added 6.7 percent to $71.76. Oil
climbed as much as 4.9 percent after a U.S. government report showed a
smaller-than-expected supply increase and refiners cut operating rates. CB
Richard Ellis Group Inc., which closed at a four-year low of $3.77
yesterday and sold 50 million shares at that price after the close,
rose $1.63 to $5.40. It may use the proceeds to repay debt, make
acquisitions, add to working capital or for capital expenditures and
investments, it said in a regulatory filing. Prologis, which slid 35
percent yesterday, jumped 29 percent to $5.75 today. Shares of the
world's largest warehouse developer look ``especially attractive'' and
the company's announcement yesterday to replace its chief executive
officer and cut dividends is ``prudent,'' Barclays Plc wrote in a
report.
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| 14.11 08:34 |
JPY/USD techs:
Resistance 3: Y100.55
Resistance 2: Y98.50 Resistance 1: Y97.90 Current price: Y96.85 Support 1: Y96.35 Support 2: Y95.90 Support 3: Y94.40 Comments:
The yen rose, heading for weekly gains against the dollar and the euro,
on speculation a prolonged global recession will prompt investors to
pare holdings of higher-yielding assets funded in Japan. The nearest
support is presented by a level of 50,0 % FIBO of growth Y94,40-Y98,30
on Y96,35. Below possible decrease to Y95,90 (61,8 %) and further to a
Thursday's low on Y94,40. The nearest resistance is located in the
field of МА (200) for Н1 on Y97,90. Overcoming of the given mark will
open road to level Y98,50 (38,2%FIBO falling Y110,65-Y90,90). Above
growth to Y100,55 is possible (high of Novembe; above, on Y100,75 the
level of 50,0 % FIBO of falling Y110,65-Y90,90is located).
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| 14.11 08:29 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.2140
Resistance 2: Chf1.2000
Resistance 1: Chf1.1945
Current price: Chf1.1881
Support 1: Chf1.1830
Support 2: Chf1.1775
Support 3: Chf1.1720
Comments: The rate is consolidated after yesterday's sharp falling
which has followed the unsuccessful test of psychological mark
Chf1,2000 - high of 2008. Return to the given level is possible after
overcoming level Chf1,1945. Above Chf1,2000 growth to level Chf1,2140
(area of a high of September of the last year and lows of June and
February of the last year) is possible. The nearest support - Chf1.1830
(38,2 % FIBO of growth Chf1.1550-Chf1.2000), further are possible
decrease to Chf1.1775 (50,0 %) and below to Chf1.1720 (61.8 %).
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| 14.11 07:40 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.5220
Resistance 2: $1.5060
Resistance 1: $1.4930
Current price: $1.4802
Support 1: $1.4555
Support 2: $1.4280
Support 3: $1.4040
Comments: Falling of dollar against pound remains limited by
expectations of the further decrease in a discount rate by Bank of
England. As the nearest support the level of a yesterday's low on
$1,4555 (the level $1,4530 is area of a low of June 2002) acts. Below
the level $1,4280 (low of April 2002) is located. Overcoming of the
given mark will open road to area of low of 2002 on $1,4040. In case of
restoration by intermediate resistance there will be an area of a
session high on $1,4930. Above are located FIBO levels from falling
$1,5880-$ 1,4555 on $1,5060 (38,2 %) and $1,5220 (50,0 %).
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| 14.11 07:20 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.3215
Resistance 2: $1.3040
Resistance 1: $1.2860
Current price: $1.2769
Support 1: $1.2675
Support 2: $1.2565
Support 3: $1.2385
Comments: The pair is corrected after yesterday's growth. As the
nearest support acts the level $1,2675 (38,2 % FIBO of yesterday's
growth). Overcoming of the given level will open road to $1,2565 (61,8
%). Below possible falling to a yesterday's low on $1,2385. In case of
continuation of growth by the nearest resistance there will be an area
of a yesterday's high on $1,2860. Also it is necessary to note, that in
the field of $1,2840 there passes a descending line of resistance since
October 14, and the level $1,2880 is a level 38,2%FIBO falling
$1,3765-$ 1,2330. Overcoming of area $1,2840-$ 1,2880 will open road to
a level $1,3040 (50,0 % of falling $1,3765-$ 1,2330). Above is possible
growth to $1,3215 (61,8 %).
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| 14.11 07:06 |
Germany data
CPI (October) final -0,2% CPI (October) final Y/Y 2,4% HICP (October) final Y/Y 2,5%
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| 14.11 06:34 |
Daily History for Nov 13, 2008
High Low Close EUR/USD 1.2856 1.2384 1.2769 USD/JPY 98.26 94.50 97.69 GBP/USD 1.4992 1.4556 1.4836 USD/CHF 1.2001 1.1824 1.1872
EUR/JPY 126.00 117.64 124.76 EUR/GBP 0.8661 0.8335 0.8605 GBP/JPY 145.75 138.86 144.92 GBP/CHF 1.7616 1.7427 1.7612
Change % Change Last Nikkei -456.87 -5.25% 8,238.64 Topix -37.70 -4.30% 837.53 FTSE -12.81 -0.31% 4,169.21 DAX +28.72 +0.62% 4,649.52 CAC +35.50 +1.10% 3,269.46 Dow +552.51 +6.67% 8,835.17 NASDAQ +97.49 +6.50% 1,596.70 S&P +58.96 +6.92% 911.26 10yr Note +1.5300 +0.417% 3.818% NYMEX Crude Oil +2.04 +3.63% 58.20 Gold -13.30 -1.85% 705.00
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| 14.11 06:19 |
Schedule for today, Friday, Nov 14, 2008
07:00 Germany CPI (October) final -0.2% 07:00 Germany CPI (October) final Y/Y 2.4% 07:00 Germany HICP (October) final Y/Y 2.5% 07:00 Germany Wholesale prices (October) -0.6% 07:00 Germany Wholesale prices (October) Y/Y 5.9% 10:00 Е15 Harmonized CPI (October) final 0.2% 10:00 Е15 Harmonized CPI (October) final Y/Y 3.2% 3.6% 10:00 Е15 Harmonized CPI ex EFAT (October) Y/Y 1.9% 10:00 Е15 GDP (Q3) flash -0.2% 10:00 Е15 GDP (Q3) flash Y/Y 1.4% 13:30 USA Retail sales (October) -0.6% 13:30 USA Import prices (October) -3.0% 13:30 USA Export prices (October) -1.0% 13:30 USA Retail sales excluding auto (October) -1.2% 14:00 USA EIA Crude Oil Stocks change 0.0 14:55 USA Michigan sentiment index (November) preliminary 57.6 15:00 USA Business inventories (September) 0.3%
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