|
|
| 12.11 20:01 |
Dow -282.91 at 8411.05, Nasdaq -59.68 at 1521.67, S&P -32.88 at 865.64
Stocks fall to session lows and then pare some losses, but remain deep
in the red. The Dow, Nasdaq and S&P 500 are down 38.8%, 44.3% and
43.1%, respectively, this year. From their all-time highs, the Dow,
Nasdaq and S&P 500 are down 40.7%, 70.3%, and 44.9%, respectively.
|
| 12.11 20:00 |
BNP Paribas on euro targets
Andy Chaveriat, technical analyst at BNP Paribas, says the break of
short term triangle support at $1.2525 "opens risk to $1.2330," the
lows seen in late October. He maintains that there is scope for a new
cycle low being seen in the sessions ahead, and he favors a medium term
decline to $1.2075/$1.1730 over the next few weeks. Nevertheless, Chaveriat notes that recent choppiness has also had
"corrective characteristics." If support near $1.2330 holds, it could
"represent basing" that would set the stage for a medium term rebound.
In this scenario, the euro could see a $1.2300 to $1.33 trading range
over the next couple weeks, he says.
|
| 12.11 19:36 |
Dow -300.43 at 8389.38, Nasdaq -57.73 at 1523.15, S&P -35.12 at 863.83
A fresh wave of selling pressure sends the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to session lows.
Financial (-5.4%) and tech stocks (-3.7%) are seeing the most selling
interest. Within financials, industrial REITs (-31.6%) and retailer
REITs (-10.1%) are down the most. Within tech, home entertainment
software (-10.3%) and electronic manufacturing services (-6.2%) are
down the most.
|
| 12.11 19:34 |
GBP/USD target $1.4500
Has retreated again and holds $1.4925 area, not far from earlier lows
at $1.4895 seen just ahead of the European close. With short-covering
squeeze now over, cable contiunues to feel the pressure from the
earlier inflation report and the prospect of further rate cuts to come
in the UK, some banks projecting 100 bps rate cut in December. Traders
talking about targets in the $1.4500 area near-term.
|
| 12.11 19:01 |
Dow -271.44 at 8422.36, Nasdaq -46.87 at 1534.03, S&P -29.72 at 869.23
The bearish bias remains as stocks trade near session lows. Within the
S&P 500, 92% of stocks are posting a loss. By percent, the biggest
losers are General Growth Properties (GGP 0.41, -0.96), -70.2%, and
ProLogis (PLD 4.49, -2.39), -34.6%. The biggest gainers are General
Motors (GM 3.12, +0.23), +7.9%, and Ford (F 1.91, +0.11), +6.1%. CNBC
reports that Rep. Frank said there will be a hearing next week on a
bill to advance $25 billion in loans to the auto industry.
|
| 12.11 19:00 |
American focus: Paulson's plan caused yen and dollar jump.[M]
The yen rose the most against the euro and the dollar in two weeks as
Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's plan to divert bailout money from
banks to consumers prompted investors to sell higher-yielding assets.
``The markets are probably ill at ease with the concept that TARP
funds, which were targeted for financial-sector stabilization, are now
getting pushed away from that purpose by the political process,'' said
Robert Blake, a senior currency strategist in Boston at State Street
Global Markets LLC, which has $15.3 trillion in assets under custody.
Paulson plans to use the second half of the $700 billion Troubled Asset
Relief Program, known as TARP, to help relieve pressure on consumer
credit, scrapping an effort to buy devalued mortgage assets. The
Treasury and the Federal Reserve are exploring a new ``facility'' to
aid the market for securities backed by assets, Paulson said in a
speech in Washington.
U.S. stocks declined for a third day as oil's slide to a 20-month low
dimmed the earnings outlook for commodity producers. The Standard &
Poor's 500 Index fell 3.2 percent, extending its decline on Paulson's
comments. Crude oil for December delivery fell $2.82 to $56.51 a barrel
in New York.

The pound fell to a record low against the euro for a third day after
the central bank said the British economy will shrink through most of
next year as a result of the global credit freeze. The dollar rose to a
two-week high against the currencies of six trading partners on
increased demand for the safety of U.S. assets.
Sterling dropped as much as 3.1 percent to the record low of 84.05
pence per euro after Bank of England Governor Mervyn King signaled
policy makers aren't done cutting rates. The pound decreased as much as
3.2 percent to $1.4898, the lowest level since June 2002.
"Governor King was on the wires again this morning highlighting the
downside domestic risks to growth,'' said Dustin Reid, senior
foreign-exchange strategist at RBS Greenwich Capital Markets in
Chicago. ``The fact that he continues to harp on it, and it's at such a
senior level, probably has a lot of people concerned about sterling.''
|
| 12.11 18:53 |
Crude oil trades at $57.00, down $2.33 on the day, above morning lows at $56.35. |
| 12.11 18:36 |
Dow -26.56 at 8453.98, Nasdaq -46.14 at 1534.76, S&P -240.74 at 872.45 |
| 12.11 17:56 |
Goldman calls for 50bp FF rate cut at the Dec 16 FOMC.
GS says "When
President-elect Obama takes office on January 20, 2009, he will face an
economy that continues to sink. We now expect an unemployment rate of
8.5% by 2009 Q4, for a total increase of 4 percentage points since 2007
Q1."
|
| 12.11 17:06 |
Dow -272.80 at 8421.56, Nasdaq -45.87 at 1535.56, S&P -29.17 at 869.78
Stocks recover some losses as Treasury Secretary Paulson completes his speech. Still, the S&P 500's decline remains steep.
Treasuries pick up some buying interest. The 10-year note is up 16
ticks, sending its yield down to 3.68%. The yield on the three-month
T-bill is down 27 basis points to only 0.15%. In another sign of risk
aversion, the TED Spread is up 23 basis points to 1.98%. The Dow and
S&P 500 are 7.3% and 4.0% above their respective Oct. 10 multi-year
lows. The Nasdaq is 3.5% above its multi-year low reached on Oct. 24.
|
| 12.11 16:49 |
FED vice chairman Kohn: we are in difficult times
"We'll need to continue to consider whether additional steps are
needed to re-open credit flows and support the economy." When mkts
stabilize then will need to wind down special lending; also need more
robust systems to guard against systemic risk.
|
| 12.11 16:48 |
Major indexes fall as Best Buy warns, stoking new fears about recession.
Stocks fell Wednesday morning as a fresh bout of weakness from major
retailers stoked fears that anemic consumer spending will push the
economy into recession.
The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) was down 1.6% in early trading.
The Standard & Poor's 500 (SPX) index was also off 1.6% and the
Nasdaq composite (COMP) fell 1.4%.
Stocks fell Tuesday, for the second session in a row, as investors
largely overlooked a new government plan aimed at helping struggling
homeowners.
Best Buy, the nation's largest electronics retailer, cut its full-year
profit forecast, citing continued weakness in consumer spending ahead
of the all-important holiday shopping period.
The company now expects earnings for the year to be between $2.30 and
$2.90 a share on sales of between $43.7 billion and $45.5 billion. The
company previously had forecast full-year earnings of between $3.25 to
$3.40 a share.
Best Buy said same-store sales for the year could decline between 1%
to 8% compared to its previous estimate for an increase of 2% to 3%.
Adding to the retail sector's woe, department store operator Macy's
said it swung to a loss in the fiscal third quarter as wary shoppers
drove sales down 7%.
American Express: The credit card issuer is seeking an estimated $3.5
billion in aid from the federal government, according to The Wall
Street Journal.
The Federal Reserve, using emergency power, granted approval for American Express to become a bank holding company Monday.
Other markets: In global trading, Asian markets tumbled, with Japan's
Nikkei 225 down 1.3%. European markets declined as well, with Germany's
DAX falling 1.5%.
COMEX gold for December delivery fell $4.80 to $728 an ounce.
U.S. light crude oil for December delivery slipped $1.74 to
$57.59 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The retreat comes
despite a report from the International Energy Agency predicting that
oil will reach $200 a barrel by 2030. The IEA also said world energy
demand will rise an average of 1.6% per year over the next few decades.
|
| 12.11 16:08 |
Dow -291.96 at 8405.60, Nasdaq -40.59 at 1541.01, S&P -29.45 at 869.96 |
| 12.11 15:48 |
Paulson's TARP critical priorities:
"First, we must continue to reinforce the stability of the financial
system, so that banks and other institutions critical to the provision
of credit are able to support economic recovery and growth. Although
the financial system has stabilized, both banks and non-banks may well
need more capital... Approximately 40 percent of U.S. consumer credit
is provided through securitization of credit card receivables, auto
loans and student loans and similar products. This market, which is
vital for lending and growth, has for all practical purposes ground to
a halt... Third, we continue to explore ways to reduce the risk of
foreclosure. Over these past weeks we have continued to examine the
relative benefits of purchasing illiquid mortgage-related assets. Our
assessment at this time is that this is not the most effective way to
use TARP funds."
|
| 12.11 15:32 |
Dow -140.18 at 8561.19, Nasdaq -22.93 at 1557.97, S&P -14.43 at 884.52
Stocks recover some ground from opening lows, but remain in the
red. All ten sectors are posting a loss. Materials (-2.3%) and
industrials (-1.7%) are the main laggards. Telecom (-0.7%) is
outperforming on a relative basis.
|
| 12.11 15:20 |
Crude oil is paring back earlier decline
WTI Nymex crude oil is now at $57.80, having earlier hit fresh
20-month low at $57.05 following comments from OPEC
President saying the cartel may cut output before the next formal
meeting in December.
|
| 12.11 14:49 |
Dow -158.90 at 8528.69, Nasdaq -21.95 at 1558.95, S&P -15.83 at 882.17
Stocks tumble at the open, with disappointing guidance from a major retailer weighing on sentiment.
Best Buy (BBY 21.37, -2.51) said that the changes in consumer behavior
since mid-September have created the most difficult climate the
retailer has ever seen. As a result, the company slashed its fiscal
year 2009 (ends in February) earnings per share guidance to between
$2.30 and $2.90 from its previous forecast of $3.25 to $3.40. This
falls well below the consensus estimate of $3.02 per share. Best Buy
earned $3.18 per share last year.
Retailers are down 3.9% this session. Separately, Treasury Secretary Paulson will provide more information on
the government's Troubled Asset Relief Program at 15:30 GMT.
|
| 12.11 14:47 |
OPEC president: Prices are "very low", world economy is in "very bad shape" and this has affected oil demand
- "Most probably" will decide to cut production if oil prices continue to fall
|
| 12.11 14:39 |
USD/JPY under pressure
Skids lower again as everyone remains on stock watch, the
pair trading to Y96.30 and eroding earlier mentioned bids. Order books
thin, some stops mentioned under Y96.30 and around Y96.00 but
noticeable that there has been little talk of bid interest.
|
| 12.11 14:30 |
Dec Brent crude hit $54.00 level -- lowest level since January 30, 2007. |
| 12.11 14:29 |
European equity bourses are trading mixed Wednesday
European equity bourses are trading mixed
Wednesday after choppy morning session, with FTSE-100 outperforming on
increased BoE rate cut speculation. The BoE said inflation projection
show inflation under 1% in 2 years time on both market and constant 3%
rates. In addition, the BoE Governor Mervyn King said it was "almost
certain" that the UK would see growth fall in two consecutive quarters,
meeting the definition of a technical recession, adding the MPC was
ready to cut rates again. CAC-40 +12pts (+0.35%), Xetra-DAX is down
4pts (-0.13%) and FTSE-100 is up 30pts (+0.70%).
|
| 12.11 14:10 |
Before the bell: Stocks set to open lower[M]
Futures trade near session lows:S&P futures vs fair value: -14.10. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -18.80.
Best Buy (BBY) lowered its fiscal year 2009 earnings per share and
revenue guidance below the consensus estimate, citing the uncertainty
regarding future consumer spending. BBY is down 17% in premarket
trading. Macy's (M) reported a smaller than expected third quarter
loss, excluding nonrecurring items, that topped expectations.
Wal-Mart (WMT, Fortune 500), the world's largest retailer, is slated to
report its results Thursday. JC Penney (JCP, Fortune 500) is on tap
Friday.
Oil prices fell below $59 a barrel. U.S. light crude for December delivery shed $1.01 to $58.32 a barrel.
|
| 12.11 13:42 |
BOE KING: If necessary MPC is certainly ready to cut again |
| 12.11 13:17 |
FTSE +19.67 at 4,266.36, CAC +4,98 at 3,341.39, Dax -23,22 at 4,738.36 |
| 12.11 13:08 |
European session: [M]
The following data were published:
09:30 UK Claimant count (October) 36,5
09:30 UK Claimant count rate (October) 3,0%
09:30 UK Average earnings (3 months to September) Y/Y 3,3%
09:30 UK ILO Jobless rate (3 months to September) 5,8%
10:00 E15 Industrial production (September) -1,6%
10:00 E15 Industrial production (September) Y/Y -2,4%
10:30 UK BoE quarterly inflation report The yen rose against the dollar and the euro as U.S. stock futures
fell on concern the global economic slowdown is deepening, limiting
investor demand for higher-yielding assets funded in Japan.
The Japanese currency also climbed against the British pound after U.K.
unemployment rose at the fastest pace in 16 years in October. It
advanced versus the Australian and New Zealand dollars, two favorites
of so-called carry trades. The euro gained against the dollar.
``The market has absorbed an enormous amount of bad news, but the
overall trend in the market is very much entrenched, and it means yen
strength,'' said Peter Rosenstreich, chief market analyst at ACM
Advanced Currency Markets in Geneva.
The euro rose from a two-week low against the dollar earlier as its
14-day stochastic oscillator was 20.03 yesterday. A level below 20
suggests a security has fallen too fast.
Losses in the U.S. dollar may be limited after prices fell for the
commodities that Australia and New Zealand export and as Standard &
Poor's cut South Africa's ratings outlook.
The ICE's Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against six trading
partners, was at 86.643, from 87.075 yesterday, when it reached 87.279,
the highest level since Oct. 28.
EUR/USD the pair bargained within the limits of $1,2500-$ 1,2630.
GBP/USD
rate has overcome yesterday's low in the field of $1,5370 and has
updated low levels against dollar for last six years ($1,5198).
USD/JPY the rate was consolidated within the limits of Y97,10-Y98,10.
|
| 12.11 12:40 |
CRUDE OIL: WTI Nymex $$58.82 (-$0.50) |
| 12.11 12:00 |
European focus:
The yen rose against the dollar and the euro as U.S. stock futures fell on concern the global economic slowdown is deepening, limiting investor demand for higher-yielding assets funded in Japan. The Japanese currency also climbed against the British pound after U.K. unemployment rose at the fastest pace in 16 years in October. It advanced versus the Australian and New Zealand dollars, two favorites of so-called carry trades. The euro gained against the dollar. ``The market has absorbed an enormous amount of bad news, but the overall trend in the market is very much entrenched, and it means yen strength,'' said Peter Rosenstreich, chief market analyst at ACM Advanced Currency Markets in Geneva. The euro rose from a two-week low against the dollar earlier as its 14-day stochastic oscillator was 20.03 yesterday. A level below 20 suggests a security has fallen too fast. ``The currency has been sold quite a lot, so its slide looked overshot,'' said Ryohei Muramatsu, manager of Group Treasury Asia at Commerzbank AG in Tokyo. ``Some buying back probably occurred.'' Losses in the U.S. dollar may be limited after prices fell for the commodities that Australia and New Zealand export and as Standard & Poor's cut South Africa's ratings outlook. The ICE's Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against six trading partners, was at 86.643, from 87.075 yesterday, when it reached 87.279, the highest level since Oct. 28. ``There's negative news from Oceania, so I see the dollar rebounding against these currencies,'' said Takeshi Iba, vice president of foreign exchange in Tokyo at BBH Investment Services Inc., a unit of Brown Brothers Harriman.
|
| 12.11 11:31 |
JPY/USD techs:
Resistance 3: Y100.55 Resistance 2: Y99.70 Resistance 1: Y98.40 Current price: Y97.40 Support 1: Y96.90 Support 2: Y95.70 Support 3: Y94.60 Comments:
The yen has returned the lost positions against dollar, but as a whole
the tech has remained former. The nearest resistance is located in the
field of МА (200) for Н1 on Y98,40. The high of October 29 on Y99,70 is
a following level of resistance. Overcoming of the given level will
open road to Y100,55 (low of October 17 and high of October 22). The
nearest support is presented by a level of 38,2 % FIBO of growth
Y90,90-Y100,55 on Y96,90. Below possible decrease to Y95,70 (50,0 %)
and further to Y94,60 (61,8 %).
|
| 12.11 11:20 |
BOE KING: Low inflation gives MPC leeway for rate action
- Sterling fall will be a concern if it continues - Sterling will be a concern if it threatens CPI target - Much less obvious that CPI will go negative in 2009 - Will use bank rate to get CPI back to target in medium-term - Negative RPI in 2009 will be result of rate falls - Certainly prepared to cut rates again if needed - BoE fan charts exaggerate fall in GDP, inflation - Inflation prospects decisively to downside
|
| 12.11 11:00 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.2000 Resistance 2: Chf1.1960 Resistance 1: Chf1.1890 Current price: Chf1.1835 Support 1: Chf1.1830 Support 2: Chf1.1760 Support 3: Chf1.1680 Comments:
Tech on USD/CHF hasn't changed. The pair has established a new high of
2008 (Chf1,1890) which at present acts as strong area of resistance as
also is a level of 61,8 % FIBO of falling Chf1.3285-Chf1.0455. Above is
possible growth to Chf1.1960 (area of high of July 2007 and the top
border of the channel ascending from July, 13th). Further psychological
level Chf1,2000 is located. Nevertheless, generated on short intervals
bearish
divergences can testify in favour of the beginning of correction in the
near future. Intermediate support the area of a session low on
Chf1.1830 is represented, as stronger level of support acts the area of
31.8 % FIBO of growth Chf1.1550-Chf1.1890 on Chf1.1760. Overcoming of
the given mark will open road to Chf1.1680 (61.8 %).
|
| 12.11 10:45 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.5640 Resistance 2: $1.5565 Resistance 1: $1.5490 Current price: $1.5265 Support 1: $1.5265 Support 2: $1.5150 Support 3: $1.4850 Comments:
Loses over 70-points after the BoE quarterly inflation report. The
nearest support is $1.5265 (low of October 24-27). Below are possible
losses up to $1,5150 (area of low of July 2002) and then to $1.4850
(area of high of Oktober 2001). In case of restoration, as intermediate
resistance acts the area $1,5460 (38.2 % FIBO of decrease $1,5880-$
1,5245). In case of overcoming the given level by the following purpose
of growth will be $1,5565 (50,0 %) and further $1,5640 (61,8 %).
|
| 12.11 10:43 |
BOE: CPI Seen Just Under 1% In 2 Years On Mkt Rates
- CPI Trough Seen Below 1% In Q2 2010 - Report Shows Scope For Further, Early And Aggressive Rate Action Bank of England forecasts for inflation and growth released today show just why the BOE slashed rates by 150 basis points last week. The bank's inflation projection shows inflation under 1% in 2 years time on both market and constant 3% rates. GDP bottoms out at a level near -2.0% in mid-2009 and the BOE's MPC believes the risks to the forecasts are "broadly balanced".
|
| 12.11 10:25 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.2750 Resistance 2: $1.2700 Resistance 1: $1.2645 Current price: $1.2527 Support 1: $1.2470 Support 2: $1.2330 Support 3: $1.2200 Comments:
Tech on euro hasn't changed. The nearest purpose of restoration is the
level $1,2645 (38,2% FIBO of decrease $1,2925-$ 1,2470). Further growth
to $1,2700 (50,0 %) and above to $1,2750 (61,8 %) is possible. In case
of renewal of falling by the nearest support there will be an area of a
session low on $1,2470. Overcoming of the given mark will open road to
two years low on $1,2330 and further to $1,2200.
|
| 12.11 10:02 |
E15 data
Industrial production (September) -1,6% Industrial production (September) Y/Y -2,4%
|
| 12.11 10:00 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1500GMT cut
EUR/USD $1.2800, $1.3000, $1.3025
USD/JPY Y98.10, Y98.20, Y99.00, Y99.50, Y100.00, Y100.85, Y103.00
EUR/GBP stg0.8050
|
| 12.11 09:48 |
GBP/USD:
Gains made on the back of the UK employment data are relatively marginal as cable holds around $1.5360 at time of writing, attention more focused on the BoE quarterly inflation report at 1030GMT. Bids back at $1.5315, with a break bringing last month's lows for the year at $1.5260 into play.
|
| 12.11 09:32 |
UK data
Claimant count (October) 36,5 Claimant count rate (October) 3,0% Average earnings (3 months to September) Y/Y 3,3% ILO Jobless rate (3 months to September) 5,8%
|
| 12.11 09:29 |
Asian session: [M]
The following data were published: 05:00Japan Consumer Confidence Households (Oct) 29,4
The
yen fell as U.S. stock futures gained and Asian money-market rates
declined, giving investors confidence to increase holdings of
higher-yielding assets financed in Japan. The euro rose versus the
dollar, following a 1.8 percent decline yesterday, as a technical chart
that traders use to predict price movements signaled the loss was
overdone. The yen also dropped against the Australian and New Zealand
dollars, two favorites of so-called carry trades, on speculation
central bankers will urge more action to stem the global credit crisis.
The yen dropped against 14 of the 16 most-active currencies after
the Standard & Poor's 500 Index futures climbed 1.3 percent. In
carry trades, investors get funds in a country with low borrowing costs
and buy assets where returns are higher. . European Central Bank
executive board member Jose Manuel Gonzalez-Paramo speaks at 9 a.m. in
Paris today. Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Donald Kohn speaks at 5 p.m.
in Luxembourg. Losses in the U.S. dollar may be limited after
prices fell for the commodities which Australia and New Zealand export
and as Standard & Poor's cut South Africa's ratings outlook. The
ICE's Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against six trading
partners, was at 86.779 from 87.075 yesterday, when it reached 87.279,
the highest since Oct. 28.
EUR/USD having opened session in the field of $1,2520, the pair has become stronger above a mark $1,2600 then has slightly decreased.
 GBP/USD
establish a session low in area of a mark $1,5340, the pair has become
stronger and has continued the tenders in a range $1,5385-$ 1,5475. USD/JPY having established sessionlow in the field of Y97,15, the yen has decreased in area Y98,00.
European events for Wednesday start at 1000GMT, EMU industrial
production for September is due, while the focus switches back to the
UK at 1030GMT with the Bank of England Quarterly Inflation Report and
press conference. UK data at 0930GMT sees the labour market data.
The claimant count unemployment saw another sharp rise of 31,800 on the
month in September as the economic slowdown continued to hit jobs. The
claimant count has now increased for the eighth consecutive month. This
means that those claiming unemployment benefit has risen by 145,000 since the start of 2008 to stand at 939,900.
|
| 12.11 09:11 |
JAPAN STOCKS:
Japan's benchmark stock indices ended Wednesday's session lower across the board, although off early session lows. The benchmark Nikkei 225 was down 113.79 points, or 1.29%, at 8695.51. The broader-based TOPIX was down 14.13 points at 875.23.
|
| 12.11 08:55 |
Stock market: Tuesday summary
Japanese stocks dropped on concern slumping demand and the stronger
local currency will force companies to lower earnings forecasts. Citizen
Holdings Co. and Seiko Holdings Corp. plunged more than 9 percent after
the watchmakers slashed profit targets. Canon Inc., which last month
predicted its first profit drop in nine years, sank 8.4 percent. JTEKT
Corp., an equipment maker part owned by Toyota Motor Corp., lost 10
percent after orders for machine tools fell the most in more than six
years. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average declined 272.13, or 3 percent,
to close at 8,809.30 in Tokyo. The broader Topix index fell 27.29, or 3
percent, to 889.36, with all but one of its 33 industry groups falling.
The value of shares traded on the Tokyo exchange was the lowest since
Sept. 1. Of 922 companies that have reported first-half earnings
through Nov. 10, more than half reduced full-year profit targets,
according to a report by Shinko Research Institute Co. Citizen,
the biggest maker of mechanical watches by volume, plunged 9.5 percent
after cutting its annual profit forecast by 32 percent. Seiko, the
first maker of quartz watches, plummeted 10 percent to 240 yen, after
slashing its net income estimate by 91 percent. Both companies cited
slumping demand and the stronger yen for the revisions. Canon, the
world's biggest camera maker, dropped 8.4 percent to 3,150 yen, and
Toyota, which cut its full-year earnings outlook by half last week,
lost 4.9 percent to 3,300 yen. Iseki & Co., a manufacturer of
agricultural machinery, surged 11 percent to 196 yen, bringing its
two-day gain to 23 percent. The company yesterday posted 690 million
yen ($7 million) in first-half net income after having forecast a loss
for the period.
European stocks fell for the first time in
three days, led by financial shares and commodity producers, on a
worsening profit outlook and drop in oil and metals prices. Intesa
Sanpaolo SpA slumped 17 percent as Italy's second- biggest bank
scrapped its cash dividend following a 54 percent slide in profit.
Julius Baer Holding AG slipped 4.9 percent after saying assets under
management declined. BHP Billiton Ltd., the world's biggest mining
company, and BG Group Plc, the U.K. gas producer, tumbled more than 9
percent. Earnings for the 1,246 companies in western Europe that
reported results since Oct. 7 declined 11 percent on average, trailing
expectations by 4.5 percent, Bloomberg data show. National Markets National
benchmark indexes fell in all 18 western European markets. The U.K.'s
FTSE 100 sank 3.6 percent, with Taylor Wimpey Plc tumbling 13 percent
as the homebuilder said orders have fallen 40 percent. France's CAC 40
lost 4.8 percent, led by Total SA. Germany's DAX slid 5.3 percent. Intesa
fell 17 percent to 2.52 euros. Third-quarter profit declined 54 percent
to 673 million euros on lower income from trading and fees. Allianz
SE, Europe's largest insurer, dropped 8.1 percent to 59.89 euros, the
lowest in more than a week. Swiss Life Holding, the nation's biggest
life insurer, slumped 8.2 percent to 109 francs. Erste Bank Group
AG, Austria's biggest publicly traded lender, lost 9.5 percent to 17.64
euros after saying it will seek shareholder approval to raise 2.7
billion euros ($3.4 billion) by issuing participation certificates that
will pay annual interest of 8 percent. BHP, the world's largest
mining company, retreated 9.3 percent to 1,019 pence. Rio Tinto Group,
the third-biggest mining company, lost 8.9 percent to 2,592 pence. Copper
fell to the lowest in two weeks in New York on speculation that a
deepening slump in the global economy will slash consumption of
industrial metals. BG Group fell 9.4 percent to 904 pence as crude
oil slumped as much as 6.6 percent to $58.32 in New York. Total SA,
Europe's third-largest oil company, fell 5.2 percent to 40.35 euros.
Stocks
fell on Tuesday as economic fears and concerns over corporate earnings
overshadowed news of a government plan to help prevent foreclosures. The
S&P 500 was down as much as 3.7%, but pared some losses in the
final two hours of the session to settle with a loss of 2.2%. Nine of
the ten sectors fell in mostly broad-based weakness. The material
sector (-4.2%) declined the most, while the defensive-oriented
utilities sector (+0.2%) outperformed. Volume was below average, with
1.23 billion shares exchanging hands on the NYSE. Government
officials outlined a new mortgage modification plan for loans held by
GSEs Fannie Mae (FNM 0.69, -0.03) and Freddie Mac (FRE 0.84, -0.04).
The program targets the highest risk borrower who has missed three
payments or more, owns and occupies the property as a primary residence
and has not filed for bankruptcy. The borrower's loan payment will
then be modified to be affordable, which the FHFA defined as no more
than 38% of total monthly gross income. Earlier in the day,
Citigroup (C 10.85, -0.36) announced a plan to prevent foreclosures,
which includes the modification of mortgage terms for a group of
500,000 homeowners. In corporate news, American Express (AXP 22.42,
-1.56) received approval to convert into a bank holding company, which
will give it greater access to funding and other measures of the
Federal Reserve. The Fed waived the normal 30-day supervisory period
due to emergency conditions. Third quarter earnings reports left
investors disappointed. KKR Financial (KFN 1.97, -1.31), Las Vegas
Sands (LVS 5.25, -2.75), Starbucks (SBUX 10.01, -0.19) and TJX (TJX
23.48, -0.22) missed estimates. Rockwell Automation (ROK 25.97, +1.09)
and Tyco (TYC 21.77, -3.57) beat estimates. The latter company,
however, gave downside earnings guidance for its fiscal year 2009,
according to reports. Meanwhile, analysts are cutting their earnings
estimates on a large number of companies in the face of the uncertain
economic outlook. Google (GOOG 311.29, -7.49) had its 2009 and 2010
earnings estimates reduced at Goldman Sachs due to weak macroeconomic
and consumer data. GM (GM 2.92, -0.44) and Ford (F 1.80, -0.13) fell
as traders continue to speculate if the automakers will have enough
cash to make it through the economic downturn. Alcoa (AA 10.91,
-0.87) led material stocks lower after announcing that it will cut
aluminum production by an additional 350,000 metric tons per year, or
8% of annualized output. In commodity trading, crude prices
plummeted 5.8% to $58.84 per barrel on the belief that the global
economic slowdown will crimp demand. Commodities as a whole fell 3.5%
as the dollar rose 1.4%. The bond market was closed in observance of Veterans Day. It will reopen for normal trading hours on Wednesday.
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| 12.11 08:29 |
JPY/USD techs:
Resistance 3: Y100.55
Resistance 2: Y99.70
Resistance 1: Y98.40
Current price: Y97.63
Support 1: Y96.90
Support 2: Y95.70
Support 3: Y94.60
Comments: The yen fell as U.S. stock futures gained giving investors
confidence to increase holdings of higher-yielding assets financed in
Japan. The nearest resistance is located in the field of МА (200) for
Н1 on Y98,40. The high of October 29 on Y99,70 is a following level of
resistance. Overcoming of the given level will open road to Y100,55
(low of October 17 and high of October 22). The nearest support is
presented by a level of 38,2 % FIBO of growth Y90,90-Y100,55 on Y96,90.
Below possible decrease to Y95,70 (50,0 %) and further to Y94,60 (61,8
%).
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| 12.11 07:55 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.2000
Resistance 2: Chf1.1960
Resistance 1: Chf1.1890
Current price: Chf1.1835
Support 1: Chf1.1830
Support 2: Chf1.1760
Support 3: Chf1.1680
Comments: The pair has established a new high of 2008 (Chf1,1890) which
at present acts as strong area of resistance as also is a level of 61,8
% FIBO of falling Chf1.3285-Chf1.0455. Above is possible growth to
Chf1.1960 (area of high of July 2007 and the top border of the channel
ascending from July, 13th). Further psychological level Chf1,2000 is
located. Nevertheless, generated on short intervals bearish
divergences can testify in favour of the beginning of correction in the
near future. Intermediate support the area of a session low on
Chf1.1830 is represented, as stronger level of support acts the area of
31.8 % FIBO of growth Chf1.1550-Chf1.1890 on Chf1.1760. Overcoming of
the given mark will open road to Chf1.1680 (61.8 %).
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| 12.11 07:20 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.2750
Resistance 2: $1.2700
Resistance 1: $1.2645
Current price: $1.2604
Support 1: $1.2470
Support 2: $1.2330
Support 3: $1.2200
Comments: The pair was corrected after yesterday's decrease. The
nearest purpose of restoration is the level $1,2645 (38,2% FIBO of
decrease $1,2925-$ 1,2470). Further growth to $1,2700 (50,0 %) and
above to $1,2750 (61,8 %) is possible. In case of renewal of falling by
the nearest support there will be an area of a session low on $1,2470.
Overcoming of the given mark will open road to two years low on $1,2330
and further to $1,2200.
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| 12.11 07:20 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.5675
Resistance 2: $1.5545
Resistance 1: $1.5460
Current price: $1.5457
Support 1: $1.5340
Support 2: $1.5270
Support 3: $1.5150
Comments: Sterling from the low reached yesterday which at present are
area of the nearest support ($1,5340). The further decrease does
possible testing low of October 24-27 on $1,5270. Below are possible
losses up to $1,5150 (area of low of July 2002). In case of
continuation of correction, as intermediate resistance acts the area of
a session high on $1,5460 (also the given mark is a level of 23,6 %
FIBO of decrease $1,5880-$1,5340). Overcoming of the given level by the
following purpose of growth will be $1,5545 (38,2 %) and further
$1,5675 (61,8 %).
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| 12.11 06:45 |
Daily History for Nov 11, 2008
High Low Close EUR/USD 1.2799 1.2504 1.2521 USD/JPY 98.29 97.29 97.66 GBP/USD 1.5703 1.5361 1.5381 USD/CHF 1.1878 1.1723 1.1874
EUR/JPY 125.47 121.80 122.27 EUR/GBP 0.8213 0.8108 0.8138 GBP/JPY 154.27 149.68 150.19 GBP/CHF 1.8523 1.8186 1.8270
Change % Change Last Nikkei -272.13 -3.00% 8,809.30 Topix -27.29 3.00% 889.36 FTSE -157.23 -3.57% 4,246.69 DAX -263.95 -5.25% 4,761.58 CAC -169.34 -4.83% 3,336.41 Dow -176.58 -1.99% 8,693.96 NASDAQ -35.84 -2.22% 1,580.90 S&P -20.26 -2.20% 898.95 10yr Note -0.0500 -0.013% 3.755% NYMEX Crude Oil -3.08 -4.94% 59.33 Gold -13.70 -1.84% 732.80
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| 12.11 06:23 |
Schedule for today, Wednesday, Nov 12, 2008
05:00 Japan Consumer Confidence Households (Oct) 29,4 31.4 09:30 UK Claimant count (October) +31.8 09:30 UK Claimant count rate (October) 2.9% 09:30 UK Average earnings (3 months to September) Y/Y 3.4% 09:30 UK ILO Jobless rate (3 months to September) 5.7% 10:00 E15 Industrial production (September) 1.1% 10:00 E15 Industrial production (September) Y/Y -0.7% 10:30 UK BoE quarterly inflation report 18:00 Е15 ECB Trichet's Speech 21:45 NZ Retail Sales (MoM) (Sep) 0.4% 21:45 NZ Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) (Sep) 0.8% 23:50 Japan Corporate goods price index (CGPI) (October) domestic -0.4% 23:50 Japan Corporate goods price index (CGPI) (October) domestic Y/Y 6.8%
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