|
|
| 07.10 20:01 |
Hot Stocks: American International Group Inc, Bank Of America Corporation, Wachovia Corp.
American International Group Inc Bank Of America Corporation, considered one of the strongest and safest, slashed its dividend in half and reported that its quarterly earnings fell 68% from a year ago, which was worse than expected.
Bank Of America Corporation The Bank of America Corporation, citing "recessionary conditions," halved its dividend on Monday and said it would sell at least $10 billion in new common stock to bolster its capital to offset rising loan losses. It also said quarterly profit slid 68 percent, more than expected.
Wachovia Corp Citigroup, Wells Fargo and Wachovia agreed Monday to halt all litigation for two days in the bitter war over the ailing Wachovia.
|
| 07.10 19:54 |
BMO: "Fed Chairman Bernanke appears willing to reduce interest rates given the deteriorating economic situation and waning inflation concerns." |
| 07.10 19:31 |
SocGen
Economist Stephen Gallagher at SocGen says Fed's CP program "offers
potentially more stable and much cheaper financing for companies in
comparison to the strained markets over the past few weeks. Moreover,
the Fed's approach is a more direct easing of credit for the markets in
comparison to a rate cut that had limited chances to influence the
borrowing rates outside the fed funds market."
|
| 07.10 19:04 |
FOMC Minutes from Sept 16
FOMC Minutes from Sept 16 (left FF unch at 2%) show concerns about S-T funding and note mkts had marked down expected path for mon-policy. FOMC was still concerned about inflation and only some noted a policy response "could be required" if mkts eroded more. But minutes also say FOMC should remain prepared to reverse easing in a timely fashion. Bernanke's speech today is setting up for a rate ease.
|
| 07.10 18:57 |
Dow -228.91 at 9730.57, Nasdaq -51.99 at 1810.97, S&P -27.28 at 1029.61 |
| 07.10 18:37 |
FED: Bernanke said cannot be complacent on infl; infl looks better but things can turn. |
| 07.10 18:20 |
Bernanke does not outright promise rate ease
Bernanke does not outright promise rate ease but text is very
mkt-soothing. He says mkts are under "extraordinary stress" and this
"can take a heavy toll on the broader economy if left unchecked". Says
steps being taken now will go far to resolve dislocations; Fed "will
continue to use the tools at its disposal to improve mkt functioning
and liqudity".
|
| 07.10 18:12 |
Goldman Sachs on S&P
"S&P broke below the 1077 Long-
Term retracement level from the 2002 lows. A corrective bounce to a
maximum of 1133 looks likely. See this as a selling opportunity for new
lows again."
|
| 07.10 17:56 |
Miller, Tabak about Fed's announcement
Tony Crescenzi of Miller, Tabak says Fed's announcement on CP is not a
complete surprise as it was rumored on Mon. He says "Roughly $100
billion to $150 billion of commercial paper is typically brought to the
market every day, and on average the commercial paper market carries
maturities of 30-45 days" - thus 3m buying will extend maturities.
|
| 07.10 17:42 |
American focus: will the Fed's plan work?[M]
The greenback fell from a 14-month high versus the euro on speculation
the Fed's plan will ease demand for U.S. currency funding among banks.
Australia's Reserve Bank reduce its cash rate by 1 percentage point,
the most since a recession in 1992, triggering speculation other
countries will cut borrowing costs.
``We've seen a dramatic capitulation of risk trades in the past few
days,'' said Robert Sinche, head of global currency strategy at Bank of
America Corp. in New York. ``If there are signs that conditions are
beginning to stabilize, then we can see people return to risk trades
and the yen will weaken.''
The yen dropped from near a three- year high against the euro and slid
against the dollar as the Federal Reserve's announcement that it will
buy commercial paper encouraged investors to resume buying
higher-yielding assets.
The U.S. central bank, invoking emergency powers, will lend against a
special purpose vehicle at the targeted fed funds rate. The unit will
purchase from eligible issuers three-month dollar-denominated
commercial paper at a spread over the three- month overnight-indexed
swap rate, according to a press release in Washington today.
``They are clearly pulling out every imaginable stop to get the credit
market moving again,'' said Shaun Osborne, chief currency strategist at
TD Securities Inc. in Toronto.
Fed Chairman Bernanke will speak about the economy at 17:15 GMT. The minutes from the Sept. 16 FOMC meeting will be released at 18:00 GMT.
|
| 07.10 17:14 |
Moody's downgrades UniCredit to AA3 from AA2, but added that outlook is stable on very high probability of systemic support. |
| 07.10 17:10 |
Dow -24.53 at 9932.80, Nasdaq -8.01 at 1854.28, S&P -2.57 at 1054.36
The major indices trade near the unchanged mark as
the market has been unable to find concerted direction. The S&P
500 is down 28% this year, and is down 33% from its October 2007
52-week high.
European markets are posting gains, with London's FTSE up 0.9%,
France's CAC up 1.4% and Germany's Dax up 0.2%. In Asian trading,
Japan's Nikkei fell 3.0%, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng was closed for a
holiday.
|
| 07.10 16:52 |
European equity bourses are coming under pressure with banking stocks under pressure
RbOS now down 41% & lowest since late 1993. FTSE-100 has lost 50 pts in last 30 mins and is now up 7pts (+0.16%)
|
| 07.10 16:32 |
Germany's Merkel says the government is ready to support banks in financial crisis. |
| 07.10 16:30 |
ECB: Trichet says the financial crisis hitting at the heart of the global system |
| 07.10 16:29 |
Dow +53.28 at 10011.97, Nasdaq +2.68 at 1865.64, S&P +5.59 at 1062.48 |
| 07.10 16:10 |
ECB, Quaden: rate cut not excluded anymore |
| 07.10 16:03 |
GBP/USD keeps positive mood
Cable breaks above $1.7600, moves on to retest earlier
Asian highs at $1.7647. Offers seen placed to $1.7650, which at writing
look to have capped recent recovery effort again at $1.7647. Rate
currently trades around $1.7638. Above $1.7650 and rate can push on
toward $1.7690/00.
|
| 07.10 16:01 |
RBC on Fed's CP action
RBC analyst TJ Marta says Fed's CP action "should largely eliminate the
blockage that we had expected would continue through yearend if
policymakers did not act. This action will help mitigate the risks of
an even sharper deterioration in the economy."
|
| 07.10 15:49 |
Dow +3.82 at 9975.33, Nasdaq -11.22 at 1853.80, S&P -2.55 at 1056.25
The S&P 500 gives up its opening gains and falls into negative
territory. Weakness in financials (-3.4%) is acting as the main drag.
Bank of America (BAC 28.07, -4.16) is down 13% after last night
preannouncing third quarter earnings that fell short of expectations.
BofA, the second largest U.S. financial firm by market cap after
JPMorgan Chase (JPM 42.66, -1.34), is cutting its quarterly dividend by
50% to $0.32 and plans to raise $10 billion in a common stock offering.
BofA made the moves to shore up its capital due to the current economic
environment.
In other financial news, Wachovia (WB 5.75, -0.03), Citigroup (C 16.92,
-0.49), and Wells Fargo (WFC 33.38, -0.31) announced last evening they
have agreed to halt all litigation. The dispute stems from Citi's
allegations that Wachovia violated exclusivity talks by agreeing to
merge with Wells Fargo. Citi had filed a suit claiming $60 billion in
damages from Wachovia and Wells Fargo.
|
| 07.10 15:14 |
Crude oil has surrendered earlier spike after Pentagon denied U.S warplane incident in Iran.
Iran state TV says plane forced to land in Iran was Hungarian. WTI
Nymex crude oil spike to $92.99 in knee-jerk reaction and also
supported by Fed annoumcement to backstop the U.S commercial paper
market. Some traders also cite talk of an OPEC production cut earlier,
which helped underpin crude oil prices. WTI Nymex crude oil is at
$91.25, up $3.44.
|
| 07.10 14:59 |
Dow +79.17 at 10041.12, Nasdaq +19.66 at 1882.62, S&P +8.18 at 1065.87
The stock market gets off to a positive start, lifted by news that the
Fed is taking action to address liquidity issues in the corporate
short-term borrowing market. Still, early gains do not come close to
making up Monday's plummet of nearly 4%.
The Fed created a Commercial Paper Funding Facility (CPFF), which will
provide a liquidity backstop for the strained commercial paper market.
The Fed will purchase three-month unsecured and asset-backed commercial
paper from eligible issuers. The Fed did not give a dollar amount on
size of the CPFF. The commercial paper market, which banks and U.S.
corporations rely on for short-term borrowing, has been under pressure
as investors flocked to the safety of Treasuries and away from money
market funds.
As stocks advance, Treasuries decline as news of the CPFF encourages
investors to take risks. The 10-year note is down 28 ticks, sending
its yield up to 3.56%. The 3-month bill yield climbed 26 basis points
to 0.75%.
|
| 07.10 14:37 |
European stock markets jump on Fed's announcement
European equity bourses are up by around 100 pts after announcement
from Fed to make purchase of US commercial papers through a special
unit. CAC-40 is at 72pts, Xetra-DAX is up 14pts and FTSE-100 is up
101pts.
|
| 07.10 14:18 |
GERMANY FINMIN: Germany opposes joint European bail-out |
| 07.10 14:17 |
Before the bell: stocks prepare to dive.[M]
Futures go on a sharp retreat : (S&P futures vs fair value: -7.20.
Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -12.80.), and now suggest a negative
start, due to disappointment that a Fed announcement on its Term
Auction Facility did not include more measures.
 Crude oil prices are rallying,
up 3.5% to $90.90 per barrel as the dollar falls 0.8%. Looking ahead,
Minneapolis Fed President Stern will speak on financial shock at 15:15 GMT AM ET and Fed Chairman Bernanke will speak about the economy at 17:15 GMT. The minutes from the Sept. 16 FOMC meeting will be released at 2:00 PM ET, followed by consumer credit for August at 18:00 GMT . After the close, Dow component Alcoa (AA) kicks off third quarter reporting season.
Bank of America on Monday reported a 68% plunge in third-quarter
profit, chopped its dividend in half and announced plans to sell off
$10 billion worth of stock.
|
| 07.10 13:52 |
Brown Brothers Harriman: euro to test $1.3300
Matt Van Dyckhoff of Brown Brothers Harriman says there has not been
such a weekly decline in the euro, since the move higher in
dollar-Deutsch market in 1992 (DM fell). He looks for the pair to test
$1.3300 and sees scope for euro-yen to see "an extended move to sub
Y130." On the day, the euro fallen from a high of $1.3675 to a low of
$1.3471 - the pairs holds at $1.3525 currently.
|
| 07.10 13:33 |
JPM says global economy is in recession
"Global
GDP growth is expected to hover around zero over the three quarters
from 3Q08 to 1Q09, similar to the performance recorded in 2001." EM
mkts are sharply eroding, they say.
|
| 07.10 13:11 |
European session: [M]
The yen fell from a three-year high against the euro after the Reserve
Bank of Australia lowered interest rates by the most since 1992,
fueling speculation central banks plan a series of cuts to ease a
financial crisis.
The yen was little changed near a six-month high versus the dollar as
Australian policy makers slashed borrowing costs by a full percentage
point, double the reduction forecast by economists. The euro rebounded
after its biggest one-day drop against the yen since the common
European currency's 1999 debut as the region's stocks and U.S. index
futures rose.
``There is a degree of optimism that we will see coordinated rate cuts,
which is increasing risk appetite and weighing on the yen,'' said Lee
Hardman, a currency strategist in London at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi
Ltd. ``In the near term, if these drastic steps do come to fruition,
then we could see a drop in the recent yen gains, which have been
excessive.''
The RBA lowered its overnight cash rate target to 6 percent from 7
percent, adding to last month's quarter-point reduction. Economists
surveyed by Bloomberg News expected a cut to 6.5 percent. The Bank of
Japan today left its benchmark rate unchanged at 0.5 percent.
The likelihood the world's largest economies are on the brink of a
recession is raising speculation central banks will cut interest rates
to revive growth. The Bank of England meets on Oct. 9 to set borrowing
costs, a day before finance ministers and central bankers from the
Group of Seven nations gather in Washington to discuss the deepening
credit-market crisis that has stalled bank lending.
``The Bank of England has been really resisting it for a long time but
now they've got to go'' for lower rates, said Sean Callow, a senior
currency strategist at Westpac Banking Corp. in Sydney. ``The tide is
certainly turning toward rate cuts that weren't on the agenda even a
couple of weeks ago.''
Gains in the euro may be limited on speculation European authorities
will fail to come up with a joint rescue plan for the region's
beleaguered financial system. The U.S. government has earmarked $700
billion to buy distressed assets from lenders following the collapse of
banks including Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.
``Let's focus on Europe and who's going to fail and how are they going
to build it up,'' said Joseph Tan, chief economist for Asia at Credit
Suisse Private Banking in Singapore. ``I wonder if they can come
together and form a comprehensive package. The euro is negative against
the dollar.''
EUR/USD after growth at the Asian session, the pair is
consolidated within the limits of $1,3515-$ 1,3620. Offers $1.3590/00,
bids $1.3515/10.

GBP/USD BBC report that UK major banks had discussed capitalisation
requirements with the BOE Monday weighed on UK bank shares, especially
RBS. Move lower drove cable to a low of $1.7320, recovering back above
$1.7450 ahead of the NY open.
Bids $1.7370, $1.7325/20, $1.7285/80. Offers $1.7460, $1.7480.
USD/JPYafter unsuccessful test of the nearest resistance
Y103,30, the pair revisited daily lows before nested itself within the
Y101,40-Y102,20 range.
At 1800GMT FOMC Minutes (Sep 16) will be released.
|
| 07.10 12:52 |
GBP/USD gains extend further
Extends recovery, off earlier lows of $1.7322, currently trading above
$1.7460 but seen meeting resistance from offers in the current area.
Stronger offers noted in the area between $1.7480/85 ( 50%
$1.7645/1.7320). A break above here to open a move on toward $1.7520/25
( 61.8%). Bids now reported in place
at $1.7375/70, $1.7320 and $1.7285/80.
|
| 07.10 12:39 |
Libya calls for OPEC to cut oil output to halt price decline, adding that OPEC may have to meet before December to cut output. |
| 07.10 12:22 |
European focus: [M]
The yen fell from a three-year high against the euro after the Reserve
Bank of Australia lowered interest rates by the most since 1992,
fueling speculation central banks plan a series of cuts to ease a
financial crisis.
The yen was little changed near a six-month high versus the dollar as
Australian policy makers slashed borrowing costs by a full percentage
point, double the reduction forecast by economists. The euro rebounded
after its biggest one-day drop against the yen since the common
European currency's 1999 debut as the region's stocks and U.S. index
futures rose.
``There is a degree of optimism that we will see coordinated rate cuts,
which is increasing risk appetite and weighing on the yen,'' said Lee
Hardman, a currency strategist in London at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi
Ltd. ``In the near term, if these drastic steps do come to fruition,
then we could see a drop in the recent yen gains, which have been
excessive.''
The RBA lowered its overnight cash rate target to 6 percent from 7
percent, adding to last month's quarter-point reduction. Economists
surveyed by Bloomberg News expected a cut to 6.5 percent. The Bank of
Japan today left its benchmark rate unchanged at 0.5 percent.
The likelihood the world's largest economies are on the brink of a
recession is raising speculation central banks will cut interest rates
to revive growth. The Bank of England meets on Oct. 9 to set borrowing
costs, a day before finance ministers and central bankers from the
Group of Seven nations gather in Washington to discuss the deepening
credit-market crisis that has stalled bank lending.
``The Bank of England has been really resisting it for a long time but
now they've got to go'' for lower rates, said Sean Callow, a senior
currency strategist at Westpac Banking Corp. in Sydney. ``The tide is
certainly turning toward rate cuts that weren't on the agenda even a
couple of weeks ago.''
Gains in the euro may be limited on speculation European authorities
will fail to come up with a joint rescue plan for the region's
beleaguered financial system. The U.S. government has earmarked $700
billion to buy distressed assets from lenders following the collapse of
banks including Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.
``Let's focus on Europe and who's going to fail and how are they going
to build it up,'' said Joseph Tan, chief economist for Asia at Credit
Suisse Private Banking in Singapore. ``I wonder if they can come
together and form a comprehensive package. The euro is negative against
the dollar.''
|
| 07.10 11:59 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y104.50 Resistance 2: Y103.90 Resistance 1: Y103.30 Current price: Y101.93 Support 1: Y101.30 Support 2: Y100.00 Support 3: Y99.70
Comments:
The
yen also declined from a six-month high versus the dollar as
Australian policy makers slashed borrowing costs by a full percentage
point, double the reduction forecast by economists. Asian stocks and
the Australian dollar pared losses as investors bet slides in benchmark
interest rates will revive confidence in higher-yielding assets.
Resistance is presented by levels FIBO from falling Y106,15-Y100,20:
Y103,30 (38,2 %, and also level Y103,40 is area of Sep 30,16 and July
16 lows, and area of a session high), Y103,90 (50,0 %), Y104,50 (61,8
%, also area of Friday's low). The nearest support is presented by
hourly lows on Y101,30. Below there is a chance of falling to
Y100,00/20 (Apri 10 low and yesterday's low).
|
| 07.10 11:36 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.1680
Resistance 2: Chf1.1600
Resistance 1: Chf1.1500
Current price: Chf1.1423
Support 1: Chf1.1420
Support 2: Chf1.1275
Support 3: Chf1.1220
Comments: The pair has slightly receded from the reached high, but
continues to remain within the limits of the ascending channel which
top border acts as strong area of resistance. As intermediate
resistance acts Chf1,1500 and Chf1,1600. As the nearest support acts
the area of Sep 11 and Oct 2 high, and also area of a session low on
Chf1,1420. Below loss of a rate can will increase up to Chf1,1275
(yesterday's kow) and further to Chf1,1220 (Friday's low).
|
| 07.10 11:34 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.8000
Resistance 2: $1.7850
Resistance 1: $1.7650
Current price: $1.7435
Support 1: $1.7310
Support 2: $1.7270
Support 3: $1.7230
Comments: The dollar was corrected from the reached levels against
pound, but as a whole the descending trend remains in force. Support is
located in the field of a session low on $1,7310, stronger level is the
area of $1,7270. Below possible falling to March 2006 low
$1,7230. Resistance is noted on $1,7650 (the session high, and also a
level of 23.6 % FIBO of falling $1,8670-$ 1,7330), further is located a
level $1,7850 (32,8 %). Above the purpose of growth can become $1,8000
(50,0 %).
|
| 07.10 11:23 |
FRANCE SARKOZY: France will help French banks if necessaryby participating in capital |
| 07.10 11:12 |
ECB ORDONEZ: World growth to drop below 4% this year
-- Previous rise in oil, commodities has hit economies
-- We are seeing a global crisis of enourmous proportions.
|
| 07.10 11:03 |
GERMANY: Manufacturing orders +3.6% m/m; - 7.6% y/y |
| 07.10 10:51 |
ECB CONSTANCIO: Macroeconomic outlook particulary uncertain
-- Govt action needed in short-term to prevent failures.
|
| 07.10 10:46 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.3980
Resistance 2: $1.3780
Resistance 1: $1.3680
Current price: $1.3565
Support 1: $1.3450
Support 2: $1.3360
Support 3: $1.3260
Comments:The euro has receded from 13-month's low against dollar.
Closest resistance eyed in the area of a yesterday's high/Friday's low
on
$1,3680/00. Further goes $1,3780 (Fibo 23.6 % of decrease $1,4870-$
1,3440) and $1,3980 (38,2 %). As the nearest support acts the area of a
yesterday's low on $1,3450/40, further down is possible falling to
$1,3360
(August 2007 low) and $1,3260 (June 2007 low).
|
| 07.10 10:01 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1400GMT cut
EUR/USD $1.3600, $1.3650
USD/JPY Y102.20, Y103.50, Y101.40, Y105.00
|
| 07.10 09:33 |
Asian session: [M]
The yen fell from a three-year high against the euro after the
Reserve Bank of Australia lowered interest rates by the most since
1992, fueling speculation central banks plan a flurry of cuts to ease a
financial crisis.
The yen also declined from a six-month high versus the dollar as
Australian policy makers slashed borrowing costs by a full percentage
point, double the reduction forecast by economists. Asian stocks and
the Australian dollar pared losses as investors bet declines in
benchmark interest rates will revive confidence in higher-yielding
assets.
The RBA lowered its overnight cash rate target to 6 percent from 7
percent, adding to last month's quarter-point reduction. Economists
surveyed by Bloomberg News expected a cut to 6.5 percent. The Bank of
Japan today left its benchmark rate unchanged at 0.5 percent.
The Bank of England meets on Oct. 9 to set borrowing costs, a day
before finance ministers and central bankers from the Group of Seven
nations gather in Washington to discuss the deepening credit-market
crisis that has stalled bank lending.
Gains in the euro may be limited on speculation European authorities
will fail to come up with a joint rescue plan for the region's
beleaguered financial sector. The U.S. government has earmarked $700
billion to buy distressed assets from lenders following the collapse of
banks including Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.
European finance ministers meet at 9:30 a.m. in Luxembourg today. The
German government and the country's banks and insurers agreed on a 50
billion euro ($67.9 billion) rescue of Hypo Real Estate Holding AG on
the weekend after an earlier bailout plan faltered. BNP Paribas SA,
France's biggest bank, agreed to take over Belgian units of Fortis
after a government rescue of the lender failed.
The prospect of a global economic slump has caused investors to
increase bets that the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank
will cut interest rates.
German factory orders probably fell 4.7 percent in August from a year
earlier, according to the median forecast of economists. The Economy
Ministry is due to release the report today.
EUR/USD after growth at the Asian session, the pair is consolidated within the limits of $1,3515-$ 1,3620.
GBP/USD having established a session high on $1,7650, the rate has receded back in area $1,4430.
USD/JPY after unsuccessful testing the nearest resistance which
is presented by level Y103,30, the pair was consolidated within the
limits of Y102,40-Y103,30.
At 1000GMT Germany releases August manufacturing orders data.
UK data at 0830GMT sees manufacturing output and industrial production for August.
At 1800GMT FOMC Minutes (Sep 16) releases.
|
| 07.10 09:02 |
JAPAN STOCKS:
Japan's benchmark stock indices ended Tuesday's see-saw session sharply
lower, although off of the day's worst levels. The Nikkei 225 was down
over 5% in early trade, before rallying in the wake of the RBA's 100
bps cut, to stand just 1% lower. However, further weakness into the
close saw the Nikkei close out 317.19 points, or 3.03%, lower at
10155.90. The broader-based TOPIX was down 21.44 points at 977.61.
|
| 07.10 08:40 |
Stock market: Monday summary
Japan's stocks dropped, driving the Topix index below 1,000 points
for the first time since December 2003, after the global credit crisis
deepened in Europe and the yen jumped, cutting the value of overseas
sales. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. plunged 9.2 percent
after worsening credit conditions forced new bailouts of Hypo Real
Estate Holding AG and Fortis. Nintendo Co., which gets 80 percent of
its sales from overseas markets, lost 8 percent as the yen surged to
its highest versus the euro since May 2006. Nippon Steel Corp. sank 7.8
percent on concern demand will wane. The Topix fell 48.92, or 4.7
percent, to close at 999.05 in Tokyo. Only 93 of 1,714 members included
in the index rose. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average declined 465.05, or 4.3
percent, to 10,473.09. Mitsubishi UFJ, Japan's largest listed
bank, lost 9.2 percent to 806 yen, the steepest plunge since October
2003, while Resona Holdings Inc., the fourth biggest, plummeted 9.5
percent to 119,800 yen. Chiba Bank Ltd. plummeted 13 percent, the
most since October 1987, to 473 yen. The regional lender slashed its
full-year earnings target on Oct. 3 by 64 percent, saying rising
bankruptcies among developers prompted the bank to boost its loan-loss
provision. Nintendo, the world's biggest maker of handheld game
players, sank 8 percent to 33,800 yen in Osaka trading, extending its
losing streak to a ninth day, the longest since December 2002. Sony
Corp., the world's second-biggest maker of consumer electronics,
tumbled 6.6 percent to 2,810 yen. Nippon Steel, the world's
second-biggest maker of the metal, dived 7.8 percent to 319 yen. JFE
Holdings Inc., Nippon Steel's biggest Japanese rival, plunged 7.2
percent to 2,625 yen. A gauge of steelmakers has lost half its value so
far this year as the credit crisis and slowing economy dragged down
U.S. auto sales. Nippon Steel also declined on concern it will
post losses on stock it holds in smaller steelmakers such as Sanyo
Special Steel Co., which sank 15 percent to 376 yen today. Komatsu
Ltd., the world's second-biggest maker of earthmoving equipment,
dropped 9.3 percent to 1,252 yen. Hitachi Construction Machinery Co.
declined 8.1 percent to 1,814 yen. Japan government reports have
shown industrial production fell at the fastest pace in five years in
August, household spending dropped for a sixth month and the jobless
rate reached a two-year high. Developers fell after UBS AG said
real estate financing will weaken. NTT Urban Development Corp. tumbled
16 percent to 102,200 yen, the worst slump since it went public in
November 2004. Mitsui Fudosan Co., Japan's biggest real-estate company,
lost 5.9 percent to 1,761 yen, and Mitsubishi Estate Co. , the second
largest fell 4.5 percent to 1,860 yen. Sumitomo Realty &
Development Co., the third biggest, slid 5.9 percent to 1,934 yen. UBS
cut its ratings on the companies to ``neutral'' from ``buy.'' Sumitomo
Metal Mining Co., Japan's biggest nickel producer, sank 7.1 percent to
853 yen, having lost 30 percent of its value in nine days. Nippon
Mining Holdings Inc., the nation's largest copper producer, lost 7
percent to 348 yen. On Oct. 3, nickel for three-month delivery
slid 1 percent to the lowest since March 2006 in London. Copper for
December delivery lost 4 percent in Shanghai today.
Stocks
tumbled around the world, the euro fell the most against the yen since
its debut and oil dropped below $90 a barrel as the yearlong credit
market seizure caused bank bailouts to spread. Government bonds
rallied. Today's sell-off erased about $2.2 trillion from
global equities after the German government was forced to bail out Hypo
Real Estate Holding AG, overshadowing the $700 billion U.S. Treasury
plan to revive credit markets. The euro weakened 6.4 percent against
the yen, the most since 1999. Two-year Treasury yields plunged
0.14 percentage point to 1.45 percent as investors sought the relative
safety of government bonds. The MSCI World Index slid 5.7 percent as
every industry fell at least 4 percent. Rio Tinto Plc, the world's
second-biggest aluminum producer, fell 15 percent and UBS AG, the
largest Swiss bank, lost 13 percent. The Dow dipped below 10,000 for the first time since October 2004. Europe's Stoxx 600 sank 7.6 percent. National
benchmark indexes fell in all 18 western European markets. London's
FTSE 100 dropped 7.9 percent, the most in two decades. Russia's Micex
plunged 19 percent, led by OAO Gazprom's 21 percent decrease. The MSCI
Asia Pacific Index lost 4 percent, as Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group
Inc. and Macquarie Group Ltd. retreated more than 9 percent. A 5.4
percent tumble in Brazil's Bovespa Index and a 10 percent retreat in
Indonesia's Jakarta Composite Index pushed the MSCI Emerging Market
Index down 9.5 percent, the steepest since it began. UBS, the
European bank worst hit by credit crisis, lost 3.08 to 20.90 francs.
The bank's earnings will be ``challenged for some time,'' and UBS may
write down $3.1 billion in the third quarter, Oppenheimer & Co.
analyst Meredith Whitney wrote in a note to clients. The Swiss bank has
posted $44 billion in losses, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
On Monday, stocks plummeted across the world on global financial and
economic concerns, although late-session buying interest helped U.S.
stocks pare more than half of their losses in the final hour of trade. The
Dow, Nasdaq and S&P 500 fell 3.5%, 3.8% and 4.3%, respectively, all
settling at multi-year lows. Still, the end result was a huge
improvement from the session's worst levels, when the Dow, Nasdaq and
S&P 500 were down 7.8%, 8.8% and 8.3%, respectively. Helping
stocks pare their losses was a headline that France proposed an
emergency G8 meeting on the financial crisis, which increased
speculation that global central banks may make a coordinated
intermeeting rate cut. Overseas equity markets fared even worse than the U.S., with the DJ World Excluding U.S. Index falling 7.3% as Europe fell 7.6% The
selling in Europe was driven over concerns that more bailouts of
European financial institutions are needed after Germany's government
stepped in to prevent the collapse of property lender Hypo Real Estate.
In addition, interbank lending rates rose in European currencies as
banks remain reluctant to lend to each other. Global growth concerns
were prevalent in commodity trading, with the CRB Index plunging 5.2%.
Oil prices dropped 5.0% to $89.15 per barrel. Meanwhile, risk averse
investors bid up the prices of Treasuries in a flight-to-quality trade.
The 10-year note climbed 36 ticks sending its yield down to 3.47%. On a
related note, gold, which is considered a safe-haven, rallied 4.4% to
$865.50 per ounce. Weakness in Europe prompted a large 1.5% rally in the dollar. The euro fell 2.2% to $1.35 and the pound declined 1.7% to $1.74. In
an attempt to improve liquidity and shore up confidence, the Fed
announced this morning that it is planning to double the outstanding
Term Auction Facilities (TAF) balances to $900 billion. The TAFs aim to
improve liquidity by allowing depository institutions to borrow from
the Fed using the same collateral that is accepted at the discount
window. The Fed will also start paying interest on depository
institutions' required and excess reserve balances. The announcement
failed to lift the stock market. The sharp declines in global stock
markets induced traders to raise their bets on the size of a rate cut
at the Oct. 29 FOMC meeting, with increased speculation that there will
be a coordinated global central bank intermeeting rate cut. Fed funds
futures suggest a 52% chance that the fed funds rate will be cut by 75
basis points.
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| 07.10 08:21 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y104.50
Resistance 2: Y103.90
Resistance 1: Y103.30
Current price: Y102.93
Support 1: Y102.60
Support 2: Y102.00
Support 3: Y100.00
Comments: The yen also declined from a six-month high versus the dollar
as Australian policy makers slashed borrowing costs by a full
percentage point, double the reduction forecast by economists. Asian
stocks and the Australian dollar pared losses as investors bet slides
in benchmark interest rates will revive confidence in higher-yielding
assets. Resistance is presented by levels FIBO from falling
Y106,15-Y100,20: Y103,30 (38,2 %, and also level Y103,40 is area of Sep
30,16 and July 16 lows, and area of a session high), Y103,90 (50,0 %),
Y104,50 (61,8 %, also area of Friday's low). The nearest support is
presented by area of May's lows on Y102,60. Below there is a chance of
falling to Y102,00 and further to Y100,00/20 (Apri 10 low and
yesterday's low).
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| 07.10 08:02 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.1680
Resistance 2: Chf1.1600
Resistance 1: Chf1.1500
Current price: Chf1.1433
Support 1: Chf1.1420
Support 2: Chf1.1275
Support 3: Chf1.1220
Comments: The pair has slightly receded from the reached high, but
continues to remain within the limits of the ascending channel which
top border acts as strong area of resistance. As intermediate
resistance acts Chf1,1500 and Chf1,1600. As the nearest support acts
the area of Sep 11 and Oct 2 high, and also area of a session low on
Chf1,1420. Below loss of a rate can will increase up to Chf1,1275
(yesterday's kow) and further to Chf1,1220 (Friday's low).
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| 07.10 07:38 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.8000
Resistance 2: $1.7850
Resistance 1: $1.7650
Current price: $1.7535
Support 1: $1.7410
Support 2: $1.7340
Support 3: $1.7300
Comments: The dollar was corrected from the reached levels against
pound, but as a whole the descending trend remains in force. Support is
located in the field of a session low on $1,7410, stronger level is the
area of a yesterday's low on $1,7340. Below possible falling to
$1,7300. Resistance is noted on $1,7650 (the session high, and also a
level of 23.6 % FIBO of falling $1,8670-$ 1,7330), further is located a
level $1,7850 (32,8 %). Above the purpose of growth can become $1,8000
(50,0 %).
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| 07.10 07:00 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.3980
Resistance 2: $1.3780
Resistance 1: $1.3680
Current price: $1.3600
Support 1: $1.3550
Support 2: $1.3360
Support 3: $1.3260
Comments:The euro has receded from 13-month's low against dollar. As
resistance the area of a yesterday's high/Friday's low of a minimum on
$1,3680/00 acts. Further Fibo on $1,3780 (23.6 % of decrease $1,4870-$
1,3440) and $1,3980 (38,2 %). As the nearest support acts the area of a
yesterday's low on $1,3550, further is possible falling to $1,3360
(August 2007 low) and $1,3260 (June 2007 low).
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| 07.10 06:43 |
Daily History for Okt 06, 2008
High Low Close
EUR/USD 1.3677 1.3441 1.3484
USD/JPY 105.16 100.21 101.52
GBP/USD 1.7697 1.7334 1.7430
USD/CHF 1.1494 1.1278 1.1481
EUR/JPY 143.73 135.02 145.09
EUR/GBP 0.7798 0.7698 0.7733
GBP/JPY 185.77 174.06 177.02
GBP/CHF 2.0129 1.9774 2.0017
Change % Change Last
Nikkei -465.05 -4.25% 10,473.09
Topix -48.92 -4.7% 999.05
FTSE -391.06 -7.85% 4,589.19
DAX -410.02 -7.07% 5,387.01
CAC -368.77 -9.04% 3,711.98
Dow -369.88 -3.58% 9,955.50
NASDAQ -84.43 -4.34% 1,862.96
S&P -42.34 -3.85% 1,056.89
10yr Note -2.1800 -0.598% 3.426%
NYMEX Crude Oil -6.07 -6.47% 87.81
Gold +33.00 +3.96% 866.20
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| 07.10 06:21 |
Schedule for today, Tuesday, Okt 06, 2008
03:30 Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision 0.50% 0,50%
03:30 Australia RBA Interest Rate Decision 6,00% 7,00%
05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index (Aug) 91,4
05:00 Japan Coincident Index (Aug) 103.5
08:30 UK Manufacturing output (August), Y/Y -1,4%
08:30 UK Manufacturing output (August) -0,2% -0,2%
08:30 UK Industrial production (August), Y/Y -1.9%
08:30 UK Industrial production (August) -0.2% -0.4%
10:00 Germany Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) (Aug) -0,7%
10:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) (Aug) -1,7%
18:00 USA FOMC Minutes (Sep 16)
19:00 USA Consumer Credit (Aug) $4,56В
23:01 UK Nationwide Consumer Confidence (Oct) 52
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