|
|
| 04.11 20:27 |
Dow +175.54 at 9493.30, Nasdaq +30.07 at 1756.40, S&P +24.40 at 990.70
Stocks are giving up some gains as all ten of the economic sectors dip.
Dell (DELL 12.80, +0.19) plans further cost-cutting measures, including
a hiring freeze and voluntary severance packages, The Wall Street
Journal reports.
The utilities sector underperforms with a gain of only 0.2%. Electric
utility PPL (PPL 28.57, -3.90) this morning reported
worse-than-expected third quarter earnings and issued downside fiscal
year 2008 and 2009 earnings guidance, citing cost pressures and higher
financing costs.
|
| 04.11 19:37 |
Crude oil is trading around $70.23, +$6.33 on the day. |
| 04.11 19:25 |
Options expiries of note for today's 1500GMT cut:
EUR/USD $1.2725, $1.2900
USD/JPY Y97.50, Y98.00, Y99.00, Y99.10, Y100.00
AUD/USD $0.6700
|
| 04.11 19:15 |
Dow +266.42 at 9586.25, Nasdaq +49.29 at 1775.62, S&P +35.49 at 1001.79 |
| 04.11 19:04 |
USD/JPY tech comments
Has ebbed to Y100.15 area now as yen crosses ease back from their
strongest levels of the day, the retreat matching some back and filling
in US stocks where Dow is up 250 vs 300 earlier. Dollar highs were
notched at Y100.55 in what traders are describing as a "relief" rally
in stocks, risk and carry type trades. Stops still eyed at Y100.80. Y100.50/85 zone (Oct 22 high and 50% retracement of Y110.65
decline) is seen as the strong resistance, where a fade is expected.
Closest
support lies at Monday session low at Y98.20. Stronger level remains at
Y96.10 (50% of the most resent rebound).
|
| 04.11 18:45 |
Gold is now up $38.44 at $761.90. |
| 04.11 18:21 |
Dow +264.47 at 9582.35, Nasdaq +48.56 at 1774.89, S&P +33.56 at 999.86
Stocks trade modestly below session highs. Crude prices spike higher, now up 11.5% to $70.63 per barrel.
Airlines (-2.7%) are notable laggards, with selling interest driven by
the spike in crude prices weighing on the industry and a poor November
outlook from Continental Airlines (CAL 18.19, -2.26). Continental said
it expects domestic revenue per available seat mile to rise by 4% to 6%
in November, compared to recent guidance of low-to-mid teens, Reuters
reports.
|
| 04.11 17:45 |
WTI Nymex crude oil hits 4-day high at $70.00
Oil is up $6.09 on session as risk-appetite returns -- stocks extend rally and dollar trade weighted index weakens.
|
| 04.11 17:21 |
American focus: [M]
The dollar fell the most against the euro since the 15-nation
currency's 1999 debut and the yen weakened as a rally in global stocks
and declines in money- market interest rates reduced the currencies'
haven appeal.
The greenback also dropped against the New Zealand and Australian
dollars as the cost of borrowing dollars for one month in London slid
to the lowest level in almost four years.
The dollar fell 2.7% to $1.3000 per euro, from $1.2643 yesterday.
The London interbank offered rate, or Libor, that banks charge each
other for one-month loans in dollars slid for a 17th day as
central-bank cash injections and interest-rate cuts worldwide showed
signs of reviving lending. The rate dropped 0.18 percentage point to
2.18 percent, the lowest level since November 2004, according to the
British Bankers' Association.
U.S. stocks gained in an Election Day rally. The Standard & Poor's
500 Index rose above 1,000 for the first time since Oct. 14, increasing
3.5 percent. The MSCI World Index of stocks for 23 developed countries
added 1.2 percent, its sixth consecutive gain, the biggest run of
advances since July.
``It's a broad setback for the dollar,'' said Marc Chandler, global
head of currency strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. in New
York. ``We do see some signs of tension subsiding a bit. This
correction phase could last weeks.''
|
| 04.11 16:44 |
WTI Nymex crude oil breaks above $69.00 level, up $5.08 on session as commodity markets rally amid dollar weakness. |
| 04.11 16:37 |
Dow +273.75 at 9596.89, Nasdaq +46.95 at 1773.96, S&P +1001.01 at 1001.01
The stock market trades slightly below its recently reached session
high. Oil prices continue to surge higher, up 7.7% to $68.86 per
barrel.
General Electric (GE 20.89, +1.59) is showing notable strength,
rallying 8.2%. The Wall Street Journal reported earlier today, citing
sources, that the Treasury is considering investments in a broad range
of financial companies, not just banks and insurers. The report went
on to specifically mention GE's capital unit and CIT Group (CIT 5.89,
+1.37).
A GE spokesperson said a Treasury investment is not expected, but would consider an offer if one was made, Reuters reported.
|
| 04.11 16:29 |
EUR/USD reached $1.3000
Bulls are eyeing break above $1.3000 -- 61.8% of $1.3300 to $1.2525
move as the fast 10-day momentum study continues to pick up steam and
now threatening break into positive territory. Risk is seen to the
21-day moving average, which is now valued at $1.3145. The 21-DMA
capped topside last rally on Oct 30 and another fade not ruled out.
Still $1.3200 38.2% of $1.4866 decline and October 30 high remains the
key resistance.
|
| 04.11 16:08 |
European equity bourses are extending gains as Wall Street moves higher
European equity bourses are extending gains with banks and defensive
stocks leading the charge as Wall Street moves higher. S&P-500
index has broken key resistance at 985.0 and now threatening to break
above 1000.0 level. Xetra-DAX has broken above 5,200 and hitting 16-day
highs -- currently at 5,205, up 180pts (+3.56%), CAC-40 is up 125pts
(+3.52%) and FTSE-100 is up 142pts (+3.19%).
|
| 04.11 15:53 |
USD/JPY remains within the narrow range
Orbits a narrow range in US trading and has eased back from earlier
highs at Y99.70 area to trade currently around Y99.30 as euro-yen and
dollar-yen both track stocks/risk-appetite to some degree. Dollar pair
said to hold supply ahead of Y100.00 area, offers starting atop Y99.75.
Bids back at the overnight low Y98.45/35.
|
| 04.11 15:36 |
Dow +215.56 at 9535.60, Nasdaq +31.30 at 1757.63, S&P +27.13 at 993.43
Stocks climb to session highs in broad-based strength led by telecom
(+4.7%), energy (+4.8%), materials (+4.2%) and financials (+3.3%).
The healthcare sector is underperforming on a relative basis with a gain of 1.4%.
The S&P 500 has rallied 18% since its multi-year low reached on October 10, but is still down 32% this year.
|
| 04.11 15:20 |
GBP/USD retains positive mood
Cable retaines positive mood after pressing on to a $1.59
handle into US dealing, with Asian sovereign demand having pushed the
pair higher in European session. The positive tone in stocks is
helping to underpin the pair, while traders continue to report poor
liquidity exacerbating moves. The closest resistance noted at $1.5970 next at $1.6013
(38.2% $1.6675-$1.5603) and $1.6130
(50% $1.6675-$1.5603) with the long-term bearish stance retained
while cable holds under the daily moving averages. Bids spotted at $1.5900 and $1.5850/40.
|
| 04.11 15:10 |
Dow +134.45 at 9454.27, Nasdaq +16.61 at 1741.22, S&P +14.86 at 983.38
September factory orders fell 2.5% month-over-month after dropping 4.3%
in August. The results were worse than the 0.8% decline that was
expected.
The stock market sports a solid gain, having a mostly muted reaction to
the data. All ten sectors are in positive territory, led by energy
(+3.9%).
Commodities are rallying in conjunction with stocks, with oil up 3.7%
to $66.26 per barrel and gold up 2.4% to $744.20 per ounce. The
dollar, meanwhile, is down 1.5% against a basket of world currencies.
|
| 04.11 15:00 |
US : Sept factory new orders -2.5% |
| 04.11 14:54 |
September factory orders due out at 1500GMT.
Economists expect a decline of 0.8% for September. This is compared to August, when factory orders plunged 4%.
|
| 04.11 14:54 |
WTI Nymex crude oil rose to $66.00 as floor trading opened
Dollar
weakness and rebound in stocks main factors driving commodity prices
higher. WTI Nymex crude oil has since eased back to $65.75, up $1.87 on
session.
|
| 04.11 14:27 |
Ahead of the stock market opening, Dow futures hold gains of about 154 points while Nasdaq futures are up 20o. |
| 04.11 14:07 |
Before the bell: Futures climb, tracking gains in Europe. Trading expected to be subdued as presidential race nears finish line. [M]
A sharply higher start is expected, although futures have dipped from
session highs: S&P futures vs fair value: +24.90. Nasdaq futures vs
fair value: +29.00. Credit markets continue to show improvements.
Interbank dollar lending, known as Libor, declined across all terms and
the TED Spread is down 20 basis points to 2.22%. Walgreen (WAG) reported a 2% year-over-year increase in October same-store sales and an overall increase of 6.8%.
But stocks could have trouble maintaining direction as investors await the outcome of the race for the White House.
Obama victory is priced into the markets because of his lead in
pre-election day polls. A McCain victory would be more of a surprise to
the markets.
Economy: Investors will take in a report on September factory orders, due out at 1500GMT. Economists expect a decline of 0.8% for September. This is compared to August, when factory orders plunged 4%.
Oil prices were flat, edging up 45 cents a barrel to $64.36.
|
| 04.11 13:33 |
EUR/GBP posted new high
Cross pushed above Monday's highs into US dealing
in the stg0.8050 area, with the cross able to press on to stg0.8079 at
time of writing. Resistance now comes at the 76.4% retracement of the
fall from stg0.8193-stg0.7813 at stg0.8103, with the tone
said to remain positive while the rate holds above the daily moving
averages.
|
| 04.11 13:13 |
European session: [M]
The euro rose against the dollar and yen as gains in European stocks
and declines in money-market borrowing costs eased concern about the
slowdown in the 15- nation economy.
The single European currency rebounded from the lowest level in a week
against the dollar as Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index rose for a
sixth day and the cost of borrowing euros for three months dropped to
the lowest since March. The U.K. pound fell for a third day as a
measure of construction activity in Britain slid in October. The
European Central Bank and Bank of England meet to decide interest rates
in two days' time.
``Risk aversion is a bit lower and that's allowed the euro to gain some
ground,'' said Antje Praefcke, a currency strategist in Frankfurt at
Commerzbank AG. ``We're heavily dependent on the stock markets and
people don't want to trade too heavily before the ECB's decision.''
The pound dropped per euro. It has declined 9 percent against the euro
and 20 percent versus the dollar this year amid evidence Britain's
economy is entering its first recession since the early 1990s. The Bank
of England will cut the main interest rate to 4 percent from 4.5
percent on Nov. 6.
Gains by the euro may be limited before the ECB's rate decision Nov. 6.
The central bank will trim its benchmark rate by half a percentage
point to 3.25 percent, according to a Bloomberg survey of economists.
The euro-area economy probably entered a recession this year and will
stagnate in 2009, the European Commission said yesterday. European
manufacturing contracted at a record pace in October and faster than
initially estimated, other data showed.
``The trend is for the euro to weaken,'' said Tokichi Ito, deputy
general manager of foreign exchange in Tokyo at Trust & Custody
Services Bank Ltd., a unit of Japan's second-largest publicly traded
lender. ``Recession has reared its head in Europe, and that's fairly
negative for sentiment.''
The Federal Reserve reduced its target rate for overnight bank loans a
half-percentage point to 1 percent on Oct. 29. Futures on the Chicago
Board of Trade show a 55 percent chance it will cut it again, to 0.5
percent, next month.
The ICE's Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback versus the
currencies of six major U.S. trading partners, was at 85.69, after
touching 87.88 on Oct. 28, the highest level since April 2006. It
dropped to 70.70 in March, the lowest level this year.
EUR/USD the pair has completely blocked morning decrease in area
$1,2520. At present the rate bargains in area $1,2845, is not far from
a yesterday's high on $1,2857.
GBP/USD
the rate has become stronger from the low reached at the morning
tenders on $1,5604. Now the pair bargains above a mark $1,5900.
USD/JPY the pair has become stronger from level Y98,40 and at the momont tests resistance in the field of a week’s high on Y99,70.

At 1530GMT,
ECB Governing Council member Axel Weber is due to deliver a speech at a
conference of the German Employers Association, in Berlin.
US data
starts at 1500GMT by factory orders data, which are forecast to hold
steady in September as durables orders were already reported up 0.8%,
but non-durables orders are expected to fall due to lower energy prices.
|
| 04.11 12:44 |
JPM: recession to be more protractive Открыть в новом окне
"Developed economy downturn is projected to extend through 2Q09 is expected to produce a 1.5% GDP decline-a contraction similar in magnitude to 1974, the worst recession in the modern era."
|
| 04.11 12:05 |
CRUDE OIL:
Crude oil prices are extending rebound as stocks continue rally and dollar index trades under pressure. WTI Nymex crude oil is at $65.35 up $1.44 on session.
|
| 04.11 11:39 |
Juncker: Policies must go beyond stabilising financial markets.
Normalizing Econ Situation Takes Time Risk Of Credit Crunch Remains
|
| 04.11 11:27 |
JPY/USD techs:
Resistance 3: Y102.35 Resistance 2: Y100.55 Resistance 1: Y99.70 Current price: Y99.33 Support 1: Y97.60 Support 2: Y96.30 Support 3: Y94.30 Comments:
Tech on yen hasn't changed. The nearest resistance is located in the
field of a high of October 29 on Y99,70. Overcoming of the given level
will open road to Y100,55 (low of October 17 and high of October 22)
and further to Y102,35 (high of October 20). The nearest support is
presented by a level of 23,6 % FIBO of growth Y90,90-Y99,70 on Y97,60.
Below possible decrease to Y96,30 (38,2 %) and further to Y94,30 (61,8
%).
|
| 04.11 11:10 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.1950 Resistance 2: Chf1.1885 Resistance 1: Chf1.1800 Current price: Chf1.1685 Support 1: Chf1.1660 Support 2: Chf1.1575 Support 3: Chf1.1430 Comments:
Tech on USD/CHF hasn't changed. As the nearest support acts area
Chf1,1660 (a level of 23,6 % FIBO of growth Chf1,1200-Chf1,1800). Below
the level of 31,8 % on Chf1,1575 is located. Overcoming of the given
mark will open road to Chf1,1430 (61,8 %). The session high on
Chf1,1800 is the nearest resistance. Except for
that mark Chf1,1800 also is area of low of Aug 2007. Above Chf1,1800 is
possible growth to Chf1,1885 (area of high of Oct 2007) and further to
Chf1,1950 (area of low of July 2007).
|
| 04.11 10:42 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.6400 Resistance 2: $1.6000 Resistance 1: $1.5900 Current price: $1.5861 Support 1: $1.5600 Support 2: $1.5400 Support 3: $1.5265 Comments:
The pound has strengthened the positions against dollar. The nearest
resistance - $1,5900 (session high). Above is possible growth in area
$1,6000 (a Friday's low, and also area МА (200) for Н1). Overcoming of
the given mark will open road to $1,6400 (a yesterday's high). The
nearest support - $1,5600 (area of a session low). Below possible
falling to $1,5400 (a low of October 28) and further to $1,5265 (a lows
of Oct 24 and 27).
|
| 04.11 10:20 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.3000 Resistance 2: $1.2810 Resistance 1: $1.2725 Current price: $1.2730 Support 1: $1.2590 Support 2: $1.2330 Support 3: $1.2200 Comments:
The pair has receded from a session low and at present resistance in
the field of $1,2725. Overcoming of the given mark will open road to
$1,2810 (a level 31,8%FIBO falling $1,3295-$ 1,2520). Above is possible
growth to $1,3000 (61,8 %). The nearest support is located in the field
of 76,4 % FIBO of growth $1,2330-$ 1,3295 on $1,2590. Overcoming of the
given mark will open road to a level of 2 year low on $1,2330 and
further to $1,2200 (area of high of February, 2006).
|
| 04.11 10:01 |
Е15 PPI (September) -0.2%
|
| 04.11 09:45 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1500GMT cut,
EUR/USD $1.2725, $1.2900
USD/JPY Y97.50, Y98.00, Y99.00, Y99.10, Y100.00
AUD/USD $0.6700
|
| 04.11 09:40 |
Asian session: [M]
The yen rose against higher-yielding currencies on speculation a
series of global interest-rate cuts will make it less attractive to buy
overseas assets using funds from Japan.
The yen gained against the Australian dollar after the Reserve Bank of
Australia lowered borrowing costs by three quarters of a percentage
point to 5.25 percent today. It also advanced versus the euro and the
British pound, before expected rate reductions by the European Central
Bank and the Bank of England this week.
The RBA, which has lowered its benchmark interest rate three times in a
row, said the reduction was necessary because of financial-market
turmoil and weaker-than-expected consumer spending. Economists expected
a smaller reduction to 5.5 percent.
The Japanese currency is popular in carry trades, where purchases of
higher-yielding assets are funded in nations with lower interest rates.
Japan's key rate is 0.3 percent, the lowest among major economies.
Foreign-exchange markets may be ``distracted'' by the U.S. presidential
elections starting later today, according to UBS AG, the world's
second-largest currency trader.
Democratic nominee Barack Obama held a 54 percent to 43 percent lead
among likely voters over Republican candidate John McCain in the
presidential campaign, according to a Washington Post-ABC News tracking
poll.
The euro fell for a fourth day against the dollar on speculation the
European Central Bank will lower rates to cushion the impact of a
slowing economy. The ECB will trim its benchmark rate by half a
percentage point to 3.25 percent when it announces a policy decision on
Nov. 6.
The Euro-zone economy probably entered a recession this year and will
stagnate in 2009, the European Commission said yesterday. European
manufacturing contracted at a record pace in October and faster than
initially estimated, data showed yesterday.
The Bank of England will lower its key interest rate to 4 percent from
4.5 percent at a meeting ending Nov. 6, according to economists
surveyed by Bloomberg. The Federal Reserve reduced its target lending
rate by a half-percentage point to 1 percent on Oct. 29. Central banks
in China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, India and the Middle East also cut
borrowing costs in the past week as policy makers race to avert a
global recession.
EUR/USD the pair has established session low in area $1,2515 then has receded in area $1,2650.
GBP/USD having shown low in the field of $1,5600, the pair has raised above a mark $1,5750.
USD/JPY the yen was corrected after morning strengthening in area Y98,40. At present the rate bargains in area Y98,90.

At 1000GMT Eurozone Industrial PPI for September is due.
At 1530GMT,
ECB Governing Council member Axel Weber is due to deliver a speech at a
conference of the German Employers Association, in Berlin.
US data
starts at 1500GMT by factory orders data, which are forecast to hold
steady in September as durables orders were already reported up 0.8%,
but non-durables orders are expected to fall due to lower energy prices.
|
| 04.11 09:23 |
FOREX. Monday summary [M]
Dollar gained agains the major rivals despite ISM Manufacturing Index fall in October to lowest level since 1982, suggesting contraction in U.S. manufacturing. Earlier
the yen fell against the euro on speculation a drop in interbank
borrowing costs will encourage investors to step up purchases of
higher-yielding assets financed by low-cost loans in Japan's currency. The dollar gained against the euro as evidence that Europe’s economic outlook is “precarious”. Growth
expected to grind to a halt next year and put government finances under
significant pressure, the European Commission warned on Monday. Growth
in the European Union is expected to slow sharply from 1.4 per cent
this year to just 0.2 per cent in 2009, according to the Brussels
executive’s latest economic forecast. The eurozone – covering the 15
countries that share the euro – would slow from 1.2 per cent to just
0.1 per cent. Eurozone inflation would average 2.2 per cent next
year and 2.1 per cent in 2010 – almost within the European Central
Bank’s target of an annual rate “below but close” to 2 per cent.
Falling commodity prices, the weaker growth outlook and the outlook for
unemployment had reduced the dangers of inflationary pressures becoming
entrenched, it said. The gloomy outlook prompted Joaquin Almunia,
economic and monetary affairs commission, to call for “co-ordinated
action at the EU level to support the economy” in the same way
governments had acted to shore up the banking system.
EUR/USD having shown session high in the field of $1,2890, the pair has finished session in area of a session low $1,2640. GBP/USD
having become stronger in first half of day in area $1,6390, the pound
could not fix the achievements and on results of session has lost more
than 250 point against dollar. USD/JPY trading session of Monday the rate bargained within the limits of Y98,20-Y99,70.
At 1000GMT Eurozone Industrial PPI for September is due. At
1530GMT, ECB Governing Council member Axel Weber is due to deliver a
speech at a conference of the German Employers Association, in Berlin. US
data starts at 1500GMT by factory orders data, which are forecast to
hold steady in September as durables orders were already reported up
0.8%, but non-durables orders are expected to fall due to lower energy
prices.
|
| 04.11 08:59 |
CRUDE OIL: Dec Brent crude oil hit $58.40 low, down $2.08 on global recession fears - lowest level since February 19, 2007 |
| 04.11 08:53 |
JAPAN STOCKS:
Japan's benchmark stock indices ended the day higher across the board, playing catch-up after holidays on Monday. Also, a bigger-than-expected rate cut from the RBA offered an additional boost. The Nikkei was higher by 537.62 points, or 6.27%, at 9114.60. The broader-based TOPIX was ahead by 43.58 points at 910.70.
|
| 04.11 08:21 |
Stock market: Monday summary
Japan stocks market was closed Monday due to National Culture Day
European
stocks advanced for a fifth day, the longest stretch of gains in a
year, as declining money- market rates overshadowed evidence the global
economy is slipping into a recession. ING Groep NV, the
Netherlands' biggest financial-services provider, added 5.2 percent,
and Swiss Reinsurance Co., the world's second-largest reinsurer,
climbed 6.3 percent as a leading money-market indicator slid to the
lowest level since the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. HBOS
Plc rallied 6.1 percent on speculation the mortgage lender may receive
a rival bid to Lloyds TSB Group Plc's offer. The Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index rose 0.6 percent to 223.38, marking the longest winning streak since October 2007. Investors
looked past reports today that showed manufacturing in the U.S.
contracted in October at the fastest pace since 1982 and factory output
in the U.K. shrank for a sixth straight month. The European Commission
said the region's economy probably entered a recession in the third
quarter and trimmed its growth forecast for this year to 1.2 percent
from 1.3 percent. Europe's Stoxx 600 climbed 12 percent last week,
the biggest weekly gain since September 2001, as central banks from the
U.S. to Japan cut borrowing costs to revive economic growth. Even
after last week's rally, European stocks are headed for their worst
year on record as a jump in U.S. mortgage defaults saddled global banks
with more than $684 billion of losses and caused credit markets to lock
up. The Stoxx 600 has tumbled 39 percent in 2008 and reached a
five-year low on Oct. 27 when the gauge traded at 7.9 times reported
earnings of the companies in the index, the cheapest level since at
least January 2002.
U.S. stocks fell for the first time
in three days as a private report showed manufacturing slumped more
than forecast and analysts said the weakening economy will hurt results
at companies from Disney Co. to Halliburton Co. Disney lost 6.4
percent after Merrill Lynch & Co. said the economic slowdown will
hurt theme-park and television income. Halliburton, the second-biggest
U.S. oilfield services provider, led a retreat in 37 of 40 energy
companies in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index after Goldman Sachs
Group Inc. cut the shares to ``neutral'' and oil prices slid. AT&T
Inc. jumped more than 4 percent after Wachovia Corp. said its valuation
is ``compelling'' and the stock is a ``safe haven.'' The S&P
500 retreated after posting its first back-to-back gains in more than a
month. The benchmark index for U.S. stocks sank 17 percent last month.
The October sell-off erased more than $9.5 trillion from the value of
stocks worldwide, almost one-third of the total value wiped out this
year, as credit- related losses and writedowns by financial firms
approached $700 billion. About 624 million shares changed hands on
the NYSE, 22 percent less than at the same time a week ago. Voters go
to the polls in the U.S. tomorrow to elect a new president. Disney
lost $1.66 to $24.25. Merrill cut its share-price estimate for the
world's largest theme-park operator by 11 percent to $24, saying the
company's parks and broadcasting businesses may be hurt by the
``weakening consumer and softening advertising market, respectively.'' Halliburton
fell 9.8 percent to $17.85, leading a decline in energy companies. The
oilfield-services provider was cut to ``neutral'' from ``buy'' at
Goldman, which cited ``product risks and valuation'' in a note to
clients. Crude oil fell as much as 6.2 percent after the Institute
for Supply Management said manufacturing in the U.S. contracted in
October at the fastest pace in 26 years. Earlier gains in benchmark indexes were spurred by a decrease in money market rates.
|
| 04.11 08:00 |
JPY/USD techs:
Resistance 3: Y102.35 Resistance 2: Y100.55 Resistance 1: Y99.70 Current price: Y99.07 Support 1: Y97.60 Support 2: Y96.30
Support 3: Y94.30 Comments: The yen rose against
higher-yielding currencies on speculation a series of global
interest-rate cuts will make it less attractive to buy overseas assets
using funds from Japan. The nearest resistance is located in the field
of a high of October 29 on Y99,70. Overcoming of the given level will
open road to Y100,55 (low of October 17 and high of October 22) and
further to Y102,35 (high of October 20). The nearest support is
presented by a level of 23,6 % FIBO of growth Y90,90-Y99,70 on Y97,60.
Below possible decrease to Y96,30 (38,2 %) and further to Y94,30 (61,8
%).
|
| 04.11 07:47 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.1950
Resistance 2: Chf1.1885
Resistance 1: Chf1.1800
Current price: Chf1.1735
Support 1: Chf1.1660
Support 2: Chf1.1575
Support 3: Chf1.1430
Comments: The pair has receded from the reached session high which are
intermediate resistance (Chf1,1800). Except for that mark Chf1,1800
also is area of low of Aug 2007. Above Chf1,1800 is possible growth to
Chf1,1885 (area of high of Oct 2007) and further to Chf1,1950 (area of
low of July 2007). As the nearest support acts area Chf1,1660 (a level
of 23,6 % FIBO of growth Chf1,1200-Chf1,1800). Below the level of 31,8
% on Chf1,1575 is located. Overcoming of the given mark will open road
to Chf1,1430 (61,8 %).
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| 04.11 07:19 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.6400
Resistance 2: $1.6000
Resistance 1: $1.5840
Current price: $1.5662
Support 1: $1.5600
Support 2: $1.5400
Support 3: $1.5265
Comments: Possible reduction of a discount rate by Bank of England puts
pressure upon pound. The nearest support - $1,5600 (area of a session
low). Below possible falling to $1,5400 (low of Oct 28) and further to
$1,5265 (lows of Oct 24 and 27). The nearest resistance is presented by
a level $1,5840 (a session high). Above is possible growth in area
$1,6000 (a Friday's low, and also area МА (200) for Н1). Overcoming of
the given mark will open road to $1,6400 (a yesterday's high).
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| 04.11 07:08 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.3000
Resistance 2: $1.2810 Resistance 1: $1.2670 Current price: $1.2596 Support 1: $1.2590 Support 2: $1.2330
Support 3: $1.2200 Comments: Expectations of decrease in
discount rate ECB this weeks negatively influence euro. The pair tests
support in the field of 76,4 % FIBO of growth $1,2330-$ 1,3295 on
$1,2590. Overcoming of the given mark will open road to a level of 2
year low on $1,2330 and further to $1,2200 (area of high of Feb 2006).
Intermediate resistance is presented by area of a Friday's low on
$1,2670. Overcoming of the given mark will open road to $1,2810 (a
level 31,8%FIBO falling $1,3295-$ 1,2520). Above is possible growth to
$1,3000 (61,8 %).
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| 04.11 06:44 |
Daily History for Nov 03, 2008
High Low Close EUR/USD 1.2897 1.2594 1.2643 USD/JPY 99.64 98.20 99.11 GBP/USD 1.6398 1.5779 1.5828 USD/CHF 1.1751 1.1471 1.1747
EUR/JPY 128.43 124.69 125.31 EUR/GBP 0.8056 0.7838 0.7987 GBP/JPY 163.32 158.58 156.83 GBP/CHF 1.8971 1.8420 1.8589
Change % Change Last FTSE +65.94 +1.51% 4,443.28 DAX +38.87 +0.78% 5,026.84 CAC +40.90 +1.17% 3,527.97 DOW -3.75 -0.04% 9,321.26 NASDAQ +5.38 +0.31% 1,726.33 S&P 500 -2.42 -0.25% 966.33 10yr Note -0.6600 -0.166% 3.904% NYMEX Crude Oil -3.90 -5.75% 63.91 Gold +8.60 +1.20% 726.80
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| 04.11 06:22 |
Schedule for today, Tuesday, Nov 04, 2008
03:30 Australia RBA meeting announcement 5,25% 5.50% 6,00% 06:45 Switzerland СPI (Oktober), YoY 2,9% 06:45 Switzerland СPI (Oktober) 0,1% 10:00 Е15 PPI (September) Y/Y 8,5% 10:00 Е15 PPI (September) -0,5% 15:00 USA Factory orders (September) -1.7% -4.0%
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